TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13110754
Played Sep 12Finished
Richard Krejci
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118117119––––
Martin Sopko
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:33 and never touched — 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeMartin Sopko to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRichard Krejci above · Martin Sopko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 57 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Martin Sopko at 66.3%
57 points played in total.
H2H Richard Krejci 1–1 Martin Sopko Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:33What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Sopko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Krejci 1622 vs Sopko 1652
Sopko
Wrong
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krejci 40% vs Sopko 100%
Sopko
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krejci 50% vs Sopko 70%
Sopko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krejci +1 · Sopko +5
Sopko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Sopko) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sopko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrejci 3.25 / Sopko 1.33
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Sopko)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13110754
Krejci3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 21 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back19% 6 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Sopko1.33
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 40 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it100% 19 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it87% 27 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKrejci1wins
AwaySopko1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricKrejciSopkoK − SBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match29.027.5+1.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrejciSopkoBasisWin rate · lifetime184 / 347 vs 167 / 35353%47.3%184 / 347 vs 167 / 353Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SopkoKrejci 3.25/Sopko 1.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.7%
Sopko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Krejci won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LApr 5 · 24:00R. Krejci—9880M. Sopko—1111113
WFeb 6 · 02:00R. Krejci—1111113M. Sopko—7780
R. Krejci10
WSep 12 · 24:30P. Pycha1.57115561R. Krejci2.2591111113LSep 11 · 23:30S. Kadavy1.6114611123R. Krejci2.2012118101LSep 11 · 22:30R. Krejci2.008490V. Cermak1.731111113LSep 9 · 03:30R. Krejci1.917550M. Vedmoch1.801111113WSep 9 · 02:30R. Krejci1.831111113M. Vedmoch1.837550WSep 9 · 01:30J. Trefny3.5011291152R. Krejci1.28711119113LSep 9 · 24:00R. Krejci1.6711981132R. Pavelka2.10711119113WSep 8 · 23:00V. Postelt2.5010770R. Krejci1.501211113WSep 7 · 02:58R. Krejci2.631111113M. Sobisek1.449480LSep 7 · 02:00M. Sobisek1.4412712113R. Krejci2.6310111051
M. Sopko10
WSep 12 · 24:00M. Sopko1.731111113V. Cermak2.001860WSep 11 · 23:00P. Pycha2.509511101M. Sopko1.5011113123WSep 9 · 03:30M. Sobisek1.65118641M. Sopko2.1091111113WSep 9 · 02:30M. Sopko1.441111113D. Tuma2.636960WSep 9 · 01:30V. Cermak1.80611581M. Sopko1.9111511113WSep 9 · 24:00M. Sopko1.331111113A. Hlawatschke3.256760LSep 8 · 23:00M. Sobisek1.801111113M. Sopko1.918890WAug 27 · 03:00V. Cermak1.5246120M. Sopko2.351111143LAug 27 · 02:30J. Hradecky2.50111159113M. Sopko1.5085111162LAug 27 · 01:00M. Sobisek1.67911911113M. Sopko2.1011811692
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