TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13108442
Played Sep 11Finished
Patrik Pycha
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9115111131012––
Martin Sopko
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:03 and never touched — 59.8% is still 59.8%
Graded at full timeMartin Sopko to win
59.8%
59.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPatrik Pycha above · Martin Sopko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 72 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Martin Sopko at 59.8%
72 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Pycha 10–9 Martin Sopko Martin Sopko has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:03What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Sopko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-9 in 19
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pycha 1564 vs Sopko 1625
Sopko
Correct
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pycha 0% vs Sopko 80%
Sopko
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pycha 20% vs Sopko 60%
Sopko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pycha -5 · Sopko +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Sopko) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sopko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPycha 2.50 / Sopko 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Sopko)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13108442
Pycha2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 20 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back21% 7 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Sopko1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 40 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it100% 19 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it87% 27 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePycha5wins
AwaySopko5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePycha75%3 of 4
AwaySopko66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pycha4Sopko6n = 10Sopko took 6 of 10
S2Pycha6Sopko4n = 10Pycha took 6 of 10
S3Pycha5Sopko5n = 10split evenly
S4Pycha3Sopko2n = 5Pycha took 3 of 5
S5Pycha1Sopko2n = 3Sopko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPychaSopkoP − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.333.8+2.5per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPychaSopkoBasisWin rate · lifetime488 / 933 vs 167 / 35652.3%46.9%488 / 933 vs 167 / 356Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SopkoPycha 2.50/Sopko 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Sopko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sopko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 29 · 23:00P. Pycha4581111692M. Sopko47116811113
LApr 5 · 02:30P. Pycha165650M. Sopko331111113
LMar 4 · 03:00P. Pycha2512580M. Sopko361411113
WFeb 27 · 02:00P. Pycha485111011113M. Sopko3811512732
WJan 31 · 12:00P. Pycha331111113M. Sopko154650
WJan 21 · 24:30P. Pycha45121111113M. Sopko27143821
LDec 21 · 23:30P. Pycha51111213692M. Sopko514141111113
WDec 16 · 03:00P. Pycha4313118113M. Sopko351171161
WDec 13 · 02:30P. Pycha331111113M. Sopko219840
LDec 7 · 17:00P. Pycha2485110M. Sopko351111133
P. Pycha10
WSep 13 · 24:30P. Pycha1.8311117113M. Vizek1.83971141WSep 12 · 23:00P. Pycha1.839121112113M. Sobisek1.83111461062WSep 12 · 22:00D. Tuma2.105770P. Pycha1.671111113WSep 12 · 02:00V. Cermak2.101071181P. Pycha1.6712115113LSep 12 · 24:30P. Pycha1.57115561R. Krejci2.2591111113LSep 11 · 22:00S. Kadavy1.73101111123P. Pycha2.001297101LSep 5 · 02:58T. Janata1.80671111113P. Pycha1.9111117372LSep 5 · 02:00R. Krejci2.501211113P. Pycha1.5010350LSep 5 · 24:30P. Pycha1.9151112592T. Janata1.801131011113LSep 4 · 23:00P. Pycha2.0057150S. Kadavy1.731111173
M. Sopko10
LSep 12 · 03:30S. Kadavy1.7311119113M. Sopko2.00491171LSep 12 · 02:30M. Sopko1.8311711952S. Kadavy1.83511611113LSep 12 · 01:30R. Krejci3.251111113M. Sopko1.338790WSep 12 · 24:00M. Sopko1.731111113V. Cermak2.001860WSep 9 · 03:30M. Sobisek1.65118641M. Sopko2.1091111113WSep 9 · 02:30M. Sopko1.441111113D. Tuma2.636960WSep 9 · 01:30V. Cermak1.80611581M. Sopko1.9111511113WSep 9 · 24:00M. Sopko1.331111113A. Hlawatschke3.256760LSep 8 · 23:00M. Sobisek1.801111113M. Sopko1.918890WAug 27 · 03:00V. Cermak1.5246120M. Sopko2.351111143
Upcoming Matches
P. Pycha
M. Sopko
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