TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13115425
Played Sep 13Finished
Patrik Pycha
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119117711114––
Martin Vizek
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Vizek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPatrik Pycha above · Martin Vizek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 71 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Martin Vizek at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Pycha 24–20 Martin Vizek Martin Vizek has won 20 of their 44 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:23What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Vizek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-20 in 44
Pycha
Correct
gap of 4 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pycha 1580 vs Vizek 1668
Vizek
Wrong
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pycha 60% vs Vizek 100%
Vizek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pycha 30% vs Vizek 80%
Vizek
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pycha +3 · Vizek +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vizek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vizek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPycha 1.83 / Vizek 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vizek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13115425
Pycha1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Vizek1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePycha7wins
AwayVizek3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPycha leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePycha83.3%5 of 6
AwayVizek50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pycha6Vizek4n = 10Pycha took 6 of 10
S2Pycha5Vizek5n = 10split evenly
S3Pycha6Vizek4n = 10Pycha took 6 of 10
S4Pycha6Vizek1n = 7Pycha took 6 of 7
S5Pycha2Vizek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPychaVizekP − VBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.238.7+2.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPychaVizekBasisWin rate · lifetime492 / 939 vs 210 / 41352.4%50.9%492 / 939 vs 210 / 413Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VizekPycha 1.83/Vizek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vizek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pycha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 24:30P. Pycha4011117113M. Vizek31971141
WAug 14 · 23:30P. Pycha51961411113M. Vizek51111112892
LAug 13 · 23:30P. Pycha248970M. Vizek331111113
LAug 8 · 24:30P. Pycha4591111592M. Vizek47115911113
WAug 7 · 03:00P. Pycha55159812113M. Vizek531311111082
WAug 6 · 22:00P. Pycha341211113M. Vizek2510690
LAug 1 · 03:30P. Pycha4011581152M. Vizek48611119113
WJul 31 · 23:30P. Pycha4211911113M. Vizek33711691
WJul 17 · 23:30P. Pycha48111115113M. Vizek421371391
WJul 5 · 01:00P. Pycha331111113M. Vizek247980
P. Pycha10
WSep 12 · 23:00P. Pycha1.839121112113M. Sobisek1.83111461062WSep 12 · 22:00D. Tuma2.105770P. Pycha1.671111113WSep 12 · 02:00V. Cermak2.101071181P. Pycha1.6712115113LSep 12 · 24:30P. Pycha1.57115561R. Krejci2.2591111113LSep 11 · 23:00P. Pycha2.509511101M. Sopko1.5011113123LSep 11 · 22:00S. Kadavy1.73101111123P. Pycha2.001297101LSep 5 · 02:58T. Janata1.80671111113P. Pycha1.9111117372LSep 5 · 02:00R. Krejci2.501211113P. Pycha1.5010350LSep 5 · 24:30P. Pycha1.9151112592T. Janata1.801131011113LSep 4 · 23:00P. Pycha2.0057150S. Kadavy1.731111173
M. Vizek10
WSep 12 · 23:30D. Tuma2.20514131272M. Vizek1.6111121114113WSep 12 · 22:30M. Vizek1.501111119113R. Krejci2.5013721182WSep 11 · 03:30M. Vizek1.5081111123V. Cermak2.501158101WSep 11 · 02:00M. Vizek1.50146118123V. Cermak2.501211611102WSep 11 · 01:00M. Vizek1.3671112113M. Vedmoch3.001191071WSep 11 · 24:00M. Sobisek1.501161081M. Vizek2.5021112113WSep 10 · 22:30M. Volf1.91111110862M. Vizek1.80841211113LSep 6 · 21:30M. Volf1.93117118113M. Vizek1.7751191192WSep 6 · 20:00M. Vizek1.8312101411123M. Volf1.831412126102LSep 6 · 19:30T. Janata2.2511911113M. Vizek1.57911721
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