TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13113991
Played Sep 12Finished
Martin Vizek
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1113117112911118
Richard Krejci
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:04 and never touched — 64.9% is still 64.9%
Graded at full timeMartin Vizek to win
64.9%
64.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Vizek above · Richard Krejci below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 94 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Martin Vizek at 64.9%
94 points played in total.
H2H Martin Vizek 6–2 Richard Krejci Richard Krejci has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:04What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Vizek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-2 in 8
Vizek
Correct
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vizek 1666 vs Krejci 1625
Vizek
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vizek 100% vs Krejci 60%
Vizek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vizek 70% vs Krejci 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vizek +5 · Krejci +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Vizek) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krejci form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVizek 1.50 / Krejci 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Vizek)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13113991
Vizek1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite62% won 48 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it84% 31 of 37
Krejci2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 24 of 64
Down 0–1, comes back20% 7 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeVizek6wins
AwayKrejci2wins
1 of 8 to a deciderVizek leads 6–2, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVizek100%3 of 3
AwayKrejci40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vizek3Krejci5n = 8Krejci took 5 of 8
S2Vizek6Krejci2n = 8Vizek took 6 of 8
S3Vizek5Krejci3n = 8Vizek took 5 of 8
S4Vizek4Krejci2n = 6Vizek took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home450%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricVizekKrejciV − KBasisWins62+4in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match38.132.9+5.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVizekKrejciBasisWin rate · lifetime216 / 418 vs 186 / 34951.7%53.3%216 / 418 vs 186 / 349Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.836.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VizekVizek 1.50/Krejci 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.1%
Vizek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vizek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 6 · 18:00M. Vizek3961111113R. Krejci33118861
WJul 30 · 02:00M. Vizek481111312113R. Krejci4476111462
WJul 25 · 01:30M. Vizek46111311113R. Krejci29415731
WApr 4 · 22:30M. Vizek331111113R. Krejci236890
LMar 27 · 23:30M. Vizek206860R. Krejci331111113
WDec 24 · 15:30M. Vizek3861111103R. Krejci24113371
WMay 25 · 24:00M. Vizek4791311143R. Krejci4011116121
LApr 6 · 24:30M. Vizek344111091R. Krejci3711312113
M. Vizek10
WSep 11 · 03:30M. Vizek1.5081111123V. Cermak2.501158101WSep 11 · 02:00M. Vizek1.50146118123V. Cermak2.501211611102WSep 11 · 01:00M. Vizek1.3671112113M. Vedmoch3.001191071WSep 11 · 24:00M. Sobisek1.501161081M. Vizek2.5021112113WSep 10 · 22:30M. Volf1.91111110862M. Vizek1.80841211113LSep 6 · 21:30M. Volf1.93117118113M. Vizek1.7751191192WSep 6 · 20:00M. Vizek1.8312101411123M. Volf1.831412126102LSep 6 · 19:30T. Janata2.2511911113M. Vizek1.57911721WSep 6 · 18:00M. Vizek1.5061111113R. Krejci2.50118861LAug 30 · 21:28M. Vizek1.80341171M. Nohejl1.9111118113
R. Krejci10
WSep 12 · 02:58R. Krejci2.00119611113V. Cermak1.7371111592WSep 12 · 01:30R. Krejci3.251111113M. Sopko1.338790WSep 12 · 24:30P. Pycha1.57115561R. Krejci2.2591111113LSep 11 · 23:30S. Kadavy1.6114611123R. Krejci2.2012118101LSep 11 · 22:30R. Krejci2.008490V. Cermak1.731111113LSep 9 · 03:30R. Krejci1.917550M. Vedmoch1.801111113WSep 9 · 02:30R. Krejci1.831111113M. Vedmoch1.837550WSep 9 · 01:30J. Trefny3.5011291152R. Krejci1.28711119113LSep 9 · 24:00R. Krejci1.6711981132R. Pavelka2.10711119113LSep 6 · 18:00M. Vizek1.5061111113R. Krejci2.50118861
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