TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13110128
Played Sep 12Finished
Patrik Pycha
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119511511611––
Richard Krejci
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:23 and never touched — 56.1% is still 56.1%
Graded at full timePatrik Pycha to win
56.1%
56.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPatrik Pycha above · Richard Krejci below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 69 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Patrik Pycha at 56.1%
69 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Pycha 12–4 Richard Krejci Richard Krejci has won 4 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:23What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Pycha
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-4 in 16
Pycha
Wrong
gap of 8 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pycha 1546 vs Krejci 1604
Krejci
Correct
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pycha 0% vs Krejci 40%
Krejci
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pycha 20% vs Krejci 40%
Krejci
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pycha -5 · Krejci -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Pycha) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pycha form (0%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPycha 1.57 / Krejci 2.25
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Krejci)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13110128
Pycha1.57
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 72 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it94% 44 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it78% 55 of 71
Krejci2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 21 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back19% 6 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePycha6wins
AwayKrejci4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderPycha leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePycha100%6 of 6
AwayKrejci100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pycha6Krejci4n = 10Pycha took 6 of 10
S2Pycha7Krejci3n = 10Pycha took 7 of 10
S3Pycha3Krejci7n = 10Krejci took 7 of 10
S4Pycha3Krejci2n = 5Pycha took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPychaKrejciP − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match32.830.5+2.3per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPychaKrejciBasisWin rate · lifetime488 / 934 vs 183 / 34652.3%52.9%488 / 934 vs 183 / 346Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PychaPycha 1.57/Krejci 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Pycha · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Krejci won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 02:00P. Pycha—10350R. Krejci—1211113
LJun 2 · 24:30P. Pycha—6840R. Krejci—1111113
WApr 25 · 03:29P. Pycha—1111113R. Krejci—9780
LApr 25 · 01:00P. Pycha—1211651R. Krejci—14811113
WApr 5 · 01:00P. Pycha—11117113R. Krejci—951151
WMar 28 · 04:29P. Pycha—116711113R. Krejci—61111442
WMar 28 · 01:00P. Pycha—11114113R. Krejci—831171
WDec 24 · 16:30P. Pycha—1411113R. Krejci—12550
WNov 24 · 03:30P. Pycha—1111113R. Krejci—6440
LNov 13 · 01:30P. Pycha—711691R. Krejci—11611113
P. Pycha10
LSep 11 · 23:00P. Pycha2.509511101M. Sopko1.5011113123LSep 11 · 22:00S. Kadavy1.73101111123P. Pycha2.001297101LSep 5 · 02:58T. Janata1.80671111113P. Pycha1.9111117372LSep 5 · 02:00R. Krejci2.501211113P. Pycha1.5010350LSep 5 · 24:30P. Pycha1.9151112592T. Janata1.801131011113LSep 4 · 23:00P. Pycha2.0057150S. Kadavy1.731111173WSep 4 · 22:00D. Kouble3.2510750P. Pycha1.331211113LAug 29 · 02:58T. Janata1.9111118113P. Pycha1.80771171WAug 29 · 02:00P. Budinsky2.20771121P. Pycha1.6111118113LAug 29 · 24:30P. Pycha1.91712111482T. Janata1.801114812113
R. Krejci10
LSep 11 · 23:30S. Kadavy1.6114611123R. Krejci2.2012118101LSep 11 · 22:30R. Krejci2.008490V. Cermak1.731111113LSep 9 · 03:30R. Krejci1.917550M. Vedmoch1.801111113WSep 9 · 02:30R. Krejci1.831111113M. Vedmoch1.837550WSep 9 · 01:30J. Trefny3.5011291152R. Krejci1.28711119113LSep 9 · 24:00R. Krejci1.6711981132R. Pavelka2.10711119113WSep 8 · 23:00V. Postelt2.5010770R. Krejci1.501211113WSep 7 · 02:58R. Krejci2.631111113M. Sobisek1.449480LSep 7 · 02:00M. Sobisek1.4412712113R. Krejci2.6310111051WSep 5 · 02:00R. Krejci2.501211113P. Pycha1.5010350
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