TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13114556
Played Sep 12Finished
Daniel Tuma
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511711711––––
Patrik Pycha
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Tuma to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDaniel Tuma above · Patrik Pycha below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 52 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Daniel Tuma at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Tuma 41–46 Patrik Pycha Daniel Tuma has won 41 of their 87 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:13What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Pycha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
41-46 in 87
Pycha
Correct
gap of 5 in 87, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tuma 1607 vs Pycha 1537
Tuma
Wrong
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tuma 20% vs Pycha 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tuma 40% vs Pycha 20%
Tuma
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tuma -3 · Pycha +1
Tuma
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pycha) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pycha form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTuma 2.10 / Pycha 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Tuma)+1.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13114556
Tuma2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 171 of 368
Down 0–1, comes back28% 55 of 195
Down 0–2, comes back11% 11 of 104
Pycha1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 73 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it94% 45 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it77% 56 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTuma1wins
AwayPycha9wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPycha leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTuma25%1 of 4
AwayPycha100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tuma4Pycha6n = 10Pycha took 6 of 10
S2Tuma4Pycha6n = 10Pycha took 6 of 10
S3Tuma2Pycha8n = 10Pycha took 8 of 10
S4Tuma0Pycha6n = 6Pycha took 6 of 6
S5Tuma1Pycha3n = 4Pycha took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricTumaPychaT − PBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match31.639.1−7.5per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTumaPychaBasisWin rate · lifetime770 / 1470 vs 489 / 93652.4%52.2%770 / 1470 vs 489 / 936Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PychaTuma 2.10/Pycha 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Pycha · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pycha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 18 · 01:00D. Tuma2410950P. Pycha341211113
LJul 13 · 22:00D. Tuma4412118672P. Pycha491061111113
LJul 5 · 03:30D. Tuma28551171P. Pycha3711114113
LJul 4 · 22:00D. Tuma4281111572P. Pycha46116711113
LJun 29 · 22:00D. Tuma208750P. Pycha331111113
LJun 20 · 24:30D. Tuma351110591P. Pycha4171211113
WMay 23 · 22:00D. Tuma5411111110113P. Pycha4255131272
LMay 23 · 02:30D. Tuma178450P. Pycha331111113
LMar 29 · 24:00D. Tuma3911114492P. Pycha43371111113
LMar 10 · 22:30D. Tuma138140P. Pycha331111113
D. Tuma10
LSep 9 · 21:00D. Tuma2.2551530M. Pikous1.571117113LSep 9 · 20:30D. Tuma1.83118581J. Stolfa1.8391111113LSep 9 · 19:00D. Tuma2.3897111182M. Bittner1.53111169113WSep 9 · 18:00M. Pikous1.3699111182D. Tuma3.00111155113LSep 9 · 03:00D. Tuma2.105960A. Hlawatschke1.671111113LSep 9 · 02:30M. Sopko1.441111113D. Tuma2.636960WSep 9 · 01:00A. Hlawatschke1.6795111552D. Tuma2.101111713113WSep 8 · 23:30D. Tuma2.10115911113V. Cermak1.6781111952LSep 8 · 22:00D. Tuma1.80631581M. Sobisek1.91111113113WSep 3 · 21:30D. Tuma1.521111113V. Postelt2.356960
P. Pycha10
WSep 12 · 02:00V. Cermak2.101071181P. Pycha1.6712115113LSep 12 · 24:30P. Pycha1.57115561R. Krejci2.2591111113LSep 11 · 23:00P. Pycha2.509511101M. Sopko1.5011113123LSep 11 · 22:00S. Kadavy1.73101111123P. Pycha2.001297101LSep 5 · 02:58T. Janata1.80671111113P. Pycha1.9111117372LSep 5 · 02:00R. Krejci2.501211113P. Pycha1.5010350LSep 5 · 24:30P. Pycha1.9151112592T. Janata1.801131011113LSep 4 · 23:00P. Pycha2.0057150S. Kadavy1.731111173WSep 4 · 22:00D. Kouble3.2510750P. Pycha1.331211113LAug 29 · 02:58T. Janata1.9111118113P. Pycha1.80771171
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.