TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13115401
Played Sep 12Finished
Daniel Tuma
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511141213111214711
Martin Vizek
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:23 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeMartin Vizek to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Tuma above · Martin Vizek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 12-14
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 110 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Martin Vizek at 58.1%
110 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Tuma 14–22 Martin Vizek Daniel Tuma has won 14 of their 36 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:23What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Vizek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-22 in 36
Vizek
Correct
gap of 8 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tuma 1590 vs Vizek 1676
Vizek
Correct
both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tuma 20% vs Vizek 100%
Vizek
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tuma 30% vs Vizek 80%
Vizek
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tuma -4 · Vizek +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Vizek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vizek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTuma 2.20 / Vizek 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Vizek)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13115401
Tuma2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 171 of 368
Down 0–1, comes back28% 55 of 195
Down 0–2, comes back11% 11 of 104
Vizek1.61
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite62% won 48 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it84% 31 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTuma2wins
AwayVizek8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVizek leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTuma33.3%2 of 6
AwayVizek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tuma6Vizek4n = 10Tuma took 6 of 10
S2Tuma5Vizek5n = 10split evenly
S3Tuma3Vizek7n = 10Vizek took 7 of 10
S4Tuma1Vizek6n = 7Vizek took 6 of 7
S5Tuma0Vizek3n = 3Vizek took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricTumaVizekT − VBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.841.0−6.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTumaVizekBasisWin rate · lifetime761 / 1457 vs 209 / 41152.2%50.9%761 / 1457 vs 209 / 411Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VizekTuma 2.20/Vizek 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Vizek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vizek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 1 · 01:30D. Tuma341011851M. Vizek4212811113
LJul 30 · 02:58D. Tuma2514380M. Vizek381611113
LJul 30 · 01:00D. Tuma4211134682M. Vizek539111111113
LJul 24 · 23:30D. Tuma4011711652M. Vizek49911711113
LJul 17 · 22:30D. Tuma2361070M. Vizek341112113
WJul 5 · 02:00D. Tuma341111123M. Vizek2578100
WJun 20 · 01:30D. Tuma4212811113M. Vizek341011491
LJun 4 · 02:00D. Tuma4211115692M. Vizek50891111113
LMay 24 · 02:00D. Tuma368116111M. Vizek4311811133
LMay 23 · 03:00D. Tuma30116761M. Vizek4291111113
D. Tuma10
LSep 12 · 22:00D. Tuma2.105770P. Pycha1.671111113LSep 9 · 21:00D. Tuma2.2551530M. Pikous1.571117113LSep 9 · 20:30D. Tuma1.83118581J. Stolfa1.8391111113LSep 9 · 19:00D. Tuma2.3897111182M. Bittner1.53111169113WSep 9 · 18:00M. Pikous1.3699111182D. Tuma3.00111155113LSep 9 · 03:00D. Tuma2.105960A. Hlawatschke1.671111113LSep 9 · 02:30M. Sopko1.441111113D. Tuma2.636960WSep 9 · 01:00A. Hlawatschke1.6795111552D. Tuma2.101111713113WSep 8 · 23:30D. Tuma2.10115911113V. Cermak1.6781111952LSep 8 · 22:00D. Tuma1.80631581M. Sobisek1.91111113113
M. Vizek10
WSep 12 · 22:30M. Vizek1.501111119113R. Krejci2.5013721182WSep 11 · 03:30M. Vizek1.5081111123V. Cermak2.501158101WSep 11 · 02:00M. Vizek1.50146118123V. Cermak2.501211611102WSep 11 · 01:00M. Vizek1.3671112113M. Vedmoch3.001191071WSep 11 · 24:00M. Sobisek1.501161081M. Vizek2.5021112113WSep 10 · 22:30M. Volf1.91111110862M. Vizek1.80841211113LSep 6 · 21:30M. Volf1.93117118113M. Vizek1.7751191192WSep 6 · 20:00M. Vizek1.8312101411123M. Volf1.831412126102LSep 6 · 19:30T. Janata2.2511911113M. Vizek1.57911721WSep 6 · 18:00M. Vizek1.5061111113R. Krejci2.50118861
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