TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13110572
Played Sep 12Finished
Martin Sopko
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115711116911511
Simon Kadavy
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 9Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:43 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeSimon Kadavy to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Sopko above · Simon Kadavy below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 87 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Simon Kadavy at 60.1%
87 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sopko 6–11 Simon Kadavy Martin Sopko has won 6 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:43What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kadavy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-11 in 17
Kadavy
Correct
gap of 5 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sopko 1637 vs Kadavy 1707
Kadavy
Correct
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sopko 80% vs Kadavy 100%
Kadavy
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sopko 70% vs Kadavy 90%
Kadavy
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sopko -1 · Kadavy +5
Kadavy
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kadavy) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kadavy form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSopko 1.83 / Kadavy 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kadavy)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13110572
Sopko1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Kadavy1.83
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 9
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSopko4wins
AwayKadavy6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKadavy leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSopko60%3 of 5
AwayKadavy80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sopko5Kadavy5n = 10split evenly
S2Sopko4Kadavy6n = 10Kadavy took 6 of 10
S3Sopko4Kadavy6n = 10Kadavy took 6 of 10
S4Sopko1Kadavy4n = 5Kadavy took 4 of 5
S5Sopko2Kadavy1n = 3Sopko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSopkoKadavyS − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.335.5−1.2per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSopkoKadavyBasisWin rate · lifetime167 / 354 vs 270 / 53447.2%50.6%167 / 354 vs 270 / 534Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.038.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KadavySopko 1.83/Kadavy 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kadavy · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kadavy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMar 3 · 23:00M. Sopko—118561S. Kadavy—81111113
WFeb 26 · 23:30M. Sopko—1051111113S. Kadavy—12114562
LJan 20 · 19:30M. Sopko—981191S. Kadavy—11116113
WJan 18 · 20:00M. Sopko—1111113S. Kadavy—6750
LDec 24 · 23:00M. Sopko—31280S. Kadavy—1114113
WDec 22 · 03:00M. Sopko—121178113S. Kadavy—108111132
LDec 7 · 20:30M. Sopko—11117982S. Kadavy—961111113
LNov 25 · 20:00M. Sopko—101040S. Kadavy—1212113
WJun 29 · 14:30M. Sopko—1111113S. Kadavy—8880
LJun 28 · 03:00M. Sopko—5960S. Kadavy—1111113
M. Sopko10
LSep 12 · 03:30S. Kadavy1.7311119113M. Sopko2.00491171LSep 12 · 01:30R. Krejci3.251111113M. Sopko1.338790WSep 12 · 24:00M. Sopko1.731111113V. Cermak2.001860WSep 11 · 23:00P. Pycha2.509511101M. Sopko1.5011113123WSep 9 · 03:30M. Sobisek1.65118641M. Sopko2.1091111113WSep 9 · 02:30M. Sopko1.441111113D. Tuma2.636960WSep 9 · 01:30V. Cermak1.80611581M. Sopko1.9111511113WSep 9 · 24:00M. Sopko1.331111113A. Hlawatschke3.256760LSep 8 · 23:00M. Sobisek1.801111113M. Sopko1.918890WAug 27 · 03:00V. Cermak1.5246120M. Sopko2.351111143
S. Kadavy10
WSep 12 · 03:30S. Kadavy1.7311119113M. Sopko2.00491171WSep 12 · 01:00V. Cermak2.00891111112S. Kadavy1.73111147133WSep 11 · 23:30S. Kadavy1.6114611123R. Krejci2.2012118101WSep 11 · 22:00S. Kadavy1.73101111123P. Pycha2.001297101WSep 5 · 03:28S. Kadavy1.5711811113R. Krejci2.25611491WSep 5 · 02:30S. Kadavy1.801111113D. Kouble1.919180WSep 5 · 01:30T. Janata1.73138951S. Kadavy2.00111111113WSep 5 · 24:00S. Kadavy1.4471111113R. Krejci2.63118991WSep 4 · 23:00P. Pycha2.0057150S. Kadavy1.731111173WSep 4 · 16:59J. Stolfa1.67731281S. Kadavy2.10111110113
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