TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13104960
Played Sep 11Finished
Martin Sobisek
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311114115––––
Michal Vedmoch
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:38 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeMartin Sobisek to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Sobisek above · Michal Vedmoch below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 55 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Martin Sobisek at 54.5%
55 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sobisek 2–0 Michal Vedmoch Michal Vedmoch has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:38What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Sobisek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sobisek 1692 vs Vedmoch 1602
Sobisek
Correct
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sobisek 60% vs Vedmoch 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sobisek 70% vs Vedmoch 50%
Sobisek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sobisek +1 · Vedmoch -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Sobisek) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vedmoch form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobisek 1.40 / Vedmoch 2.75
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Sobisek)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13104960
Sobisek1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
100%takes the first set · 10 of 10
As favourite59% won 107 of 183
Up 2–0, closes it98% 62 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it79% 81 of 103
Vedmoch2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 126 of 282
Down 0–1, comes back21% 29 of 141
Down 0–2, comes back10% 8 of 83
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSobisek2wins
AwayVedmoch0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderSobisek leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSobisekVedmochS − VBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match45.540.0+5.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobisekVedmochBasisWin rate · lifetime556 / 1180 vs 720 / 133647.1%53.9%556 / 1180 vs 720 / 1336Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SobisekSobisek 1.40/Vedmoch 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Sobisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sobisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 8 · 14:30M. Sobisek—1114143M. Vedmoch—912120
WJul 28 · 11:30M. Sobisek—1111118113M. Vedmoch—97131172
M. Sobisek10
WSep 11 · 01:30M. Volf2.63134120M. Sobisek1.441511143LSep 11 · 24:00M. Sobisek1.501161081M. Vizek2.5021112113LSep 10 · 23:00V. Cermak2.635111012113M. Sobisek1.44115121052WSep 10 · 21:30M. Sobisek1.80111310113K. Kapras1.907111251WSep 10 · 20:30K. Kapras1.80921231M. Sobisek1.91111110113WSep 10 · 19:30M. Sobisek2.0011115113J. Stolfa1.73991141WSep 10 · 18:30M. Volf2.25411261M. Sobisek1.5711811113LSep 9 · 03:30M. Sobisek1.65118641M. Sopko2.1091111113WSep 9 · 02:00A. Hlawatschke2.38314951M. Sobisek1.53111211113WSep 9 · 24:30M. Sobisek1.501111113V. Cermak2.507420
M. Vedmoch10
LSep 11 · 01:00M. Vizek1.3671112113M. Vedmoch3.001191071WSep 10 · 23:30M. Vedmoch2.2581212113M. Volf1.5711101081LSep 10 · 22:00M. Vedmoch2.7551141352V. Cermak1.401161111113WSep 10 · 17:30M. Kolar2.758590M. Vedmoch1.401111113WSep 10 · 16:00M. Vedmoch1.40511712113M. Kolar2.75117111042LSep 10 · 15:30T. Dousa2.0081112113M. Vedmoch1.731171061WSep 10 · 14:00M. Vedmoch1.61121111113M. Sedlak2.20146751WSep 10 · 02:58A. Hlawatschke1.7376110M. Vedmoch2.001111133LSep 10 · 02:30J. Hradecky1.40121111113M. Vedmoch2.75145051LSep 10 · 01:00A. Hlawatschke1.734111310113M. Vedmoch2.00119111292
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