TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13109449
Played Sep 10Finished
Michal Vedmoch
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
5111177111210114
Milan Kolar
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:34 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMilan Kolar to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Vedmoch above · Milan Kolar below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 89 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Milan Kolar at 54.0%
89 points played in total.
H2H Michal Vedmoch 27–13 Milan Kolar Milan Kolar has won 13 of their 40 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:34What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Vedmoch
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-13 in 40
Vedmoch
Correct
gap of 14 in 40, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vedmoch 1598 vs Kolar 1545
Vedmoch
Correct
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vedmoch 40% vs Kolar 60%
Kolar
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vedmoch 50% vs Kolar 80%
Kolar
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vedmoch -1 · Kolar +3
Kolar
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Vedmoch) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolar form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVedmoch 1.40 / Kolar 2.75
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Vedmoch)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13109449
Vedmoch1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 212 of 332
Up 2–0, closes it97% 109 of 113
Up 1–0, closes it81% 165 of 204
Kolar2.75
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 89 of 198
Down 0–1, comes back21% 18 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVedmoch8wins
AwayKolar2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVedmoch leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVedmoch80%4 of 5
AwayKolar20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vedmoch5Kolar5n = 10split evenly
S2Vedmoch7Kolar3n = 10Vedmoch took 7 of 10
S3Vedmoch5Kolar5n = 10split evenly
S4Vedmoch6Kolar1n = 7Vedmoch took 6 of 7
S5Vedmoch3Kolar1n = 4Vedmoch took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVedmochKolarV − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.935.0+4.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVedmochKolarBasisWin rate · lifetime717 / 1331 vs 403 / 80253.9%50.3%717 / 1331 vs 403 / 802Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VedmochVedmoch 1.40/Kolar 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.3%
Vedmoch · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vedmoch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 21:30M. Vedmoch—91111113M. Kolar—118791
WSep 1 · 19:00M. Vedmoch—21111113M. Kolar—117681
WAug 31 · 06:00M. Vedmoch—111298113M. Kolar—710111192
WAug 30 · 21:11M. Vedmoch—1112113M. Kolar—91080
WAug 30 · 19:30M. Vedmoch—1111113M. Kolar—6550
WAug 15 · 03:28M. Vedmoch—1281111123M. Kolar—141127102
WAug 15 · 24:30M. Vedmoch—511711113M. Kolar—11211632
LJul 20 · 09:30M. Vedmoch—11651272M. Kolar—7111110113
WJul 20 · 06:00M. Vedmoch—111112113M. Kolar—881421
LJul 18 · 12:30M. Vedmoch—6580M. Kolar—1111113
M. Vedmoch10
WSep 10 · 17:30M. Kolar2.758590M. Vedmoch1.401111113LSep 10 · 15:30T. Dousa2.0081112113M. Vedmoch1.731171061WSep 10 · 14:00M. Vedmoch1.61121111113M. Sedlak2.20146751WSep 10 · 02:58A. Hlawatschke1.7376110M. Vedmoch2.001111133LSep 10 · 02:30J. Hradecky1.40121111113M. Vedmoch2.75145051LSep 10 · 01:00A. Hlawatschke1.734111310113M. Vedmoch2.00119111292LSep 9 · 23:30M. Vedmoch3.009111281V. Cermak1.36111310113WSep 9 · 22:00M. Vedmoch2.201211113D. Kouble1.6110560WSep 9 · 16:59M. Vedmoch1.73111310113M. Sedlak2.008111281LSep 9 · 16:00M. Vedmoch1.5711105121J. Stolfa2.2581211143
M. Kolar10
LSep 10 · 17:30M. Kolar2.758590M. Vedmoch1.401111113WSep 10 · 15:00M. Sedlak1.5061030M. Kolar2.501112113WSep 10 · 14:30M. Kolar2.501181011113T. Dousa1.5081112372WSep 10 · 13:00M. Kolar1.611111113J. Dedek2.207890LSep 10 · 12:30M. Kolar2.0010750V. Postelt1.731211113LSep 10 · 11:00M. Kolar2.2012840T. Vinter1.611411113WSep 10 · 10:00J. Dedek1.904730M. Kolar1.801111113WSep 4 · 21:30M. Kolar1.9011118113V. Postelt1.80561181WSep 4 · 20:30M. Kolar2.00911611123M. Placek1.73116119102WSep 4 · 19:00M. Kolar2.2511811113V. Postelt1.57711291
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