TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13103720
Played Sep 10Finished
Jiri Dedek
Home
1.90
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411711311––––
Milan Kolar
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:37 and never touched — 57.9% is still 57.9%
Graded at full timeMilan Kolar to win
57.9%
57.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Dedek above · Milan Kolar below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 47 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Milan Kolar at 57.9%
47 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Dedek 22–29 Milan Kolar Jiri Dedek has won 22 of their 51 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:37What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kolar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-29 in 51
Kolar
Correct
gap of 7 in 51, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dedek 1553 vs Kolar 1505
Dedek
Wrong
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dedek 60% vs Kolar 100%
Kolar
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dedek 50% vs Kolar 70%
Kolar
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dedek +2 · Kolar +5
Kolar
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kolar) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolar form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDedek 1.90 / Kolar 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kolar)+2.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13103720
Dedek1.90
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 84 of 207
Down 0–1, comes back24% 31 of 132
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 73
Kolar1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 127 of 201
Up 2–0, closes it88% 67 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it76% 97 of 128
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDedek5wins
AwayKolar5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDedekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKolar62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dedek2Kolar8n = 10Kolar took 8 of 10
S2Dedek4Kolar6n = 10Kolar took 6 of 10
S3Dedek7Kolar3n = 10Dedek took 7 of 10
S4Dedek7Kolar2n = 9Dedek took 7 of 9
S5Dedek1Kolar2n = 3Kolar took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDedekKolarD − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match37.438.9−1.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDedekKolarBasisWin rate · lifetime482 / 931 vs 403 / 80851.8%49.9%482 / 931 vs 403 / 808Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolarDedek 1.90/Kolar 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kolar · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kolar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 20:30J. Dedek—114614123M. Kolar—3111112102
LAug 30 · 20:30J. Dedek—461111102M. Kolar—111166123
LAug 16 · 16:30J. Dedek—108111172M. Kolar—121199113
WAug 15 · 02:00J. Dedek—111111113M. Kolar—781371
LAug 13 · 21:30J. Dedek—6760M. Kolar—1111113
WAug 13 · 18:00J. Dedek—41111113M. Kolar—116761
LJul 30 · 21:13J. Dedek—531141M. Kolar—11114113
WJul 30 · 20:30J. Dedek—91311123M. Kolar—11114101
LJul 24 · 21:13J. Dedek—681161M. Kolar—11116113
WJul 24 · 19:00J. Dedek—61111113M. Kolar—117971
J. Dedek10
LSep 10 · 11:30V. Postelt1.501111113J. Dedek2.508470WSep 8 · 20:59J. Dedek2.2011115133J. Plachy1.614911111WSep 8 · 20:30J. Dedek2.00115116113J. Plachy1.7351171122LSep 8 · 19:00J. Dedek1.73561371T. Dousa2.00111111113LSep 8 · 18:00J. Prokupek1.91118117113J. Dedek1.8091191182WSep 8 · 03:00J. Dedek1.401112113P. Fojt2.7551030WSep 8 · 02:30J. Dedek3.251111113V. Postelt1.338380WSep 8 · 01:30D. Kouble1.83112121112J. Dedek1.83811147113LSep 8 · 24:00J. Dedek1.36611111122P. Fojt3.00111331113LSep 7 · 23:00J. Prokupek1.911111163J. Dedek1.8085140
M. Kolar10
LSep 10 · 11:00M. Kolar2.2012840T. Vinter1.611411113WSep 4 · 21:30M. Kolar1.9011118113V. Postelt1.80561181WSep 4 · 20:30M. Kolar2.00911611123M. Placek1.73116119102WSep 4 · 19:00M. Kolar2.2511811113V. Postelt1.57711291WSep 4 · 18:00J. Dedek1.9110115101M. Kolar1.8012311123WSep 4 · 13:30D. Parhomenko1.541010111292M. Kolar2.181212710113WSep 4 · 12:30M. Kolar1.301111113J. Steffan3.408780WSep 4 · 11:00M. Kolar2.25111111113L. Malek1.57139971LSep 4 · 10:00D. Parhomenko1.73111011113M. Kolar2.00412851LSep 3 · 13:02J. Prokupek2.0091111113M. Kolar1.73117431
Upcoming Matches
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