TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092815
Played Sep 8Finished
Jiri Dedek
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
115511117611112
Jiri Plachy
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:17 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeJiri Plachy to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Dedek above · Jiri Plachy below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-2
Point 80 set 5, 11-2 — our read held Jiri Plachy at 55.3%
80 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Dedek 17–49 Jiri Plachy Jiri Dedek has won 17 of their 66 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:17What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Plachy
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-49 in 66
Plachy
Wrong
gap of 32 in 66, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dedek 1553 vs Plachy 1461
Dedek
Correct
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dedek 60% vs Plachy 40%
Dedek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dedek 50% vs Plachy 70%
Plachy
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dedek -2 · Plachy -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Plachy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plachy form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDedek 2.00 / Plachy 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Plachy)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092815
Dedek2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 82 of 205
Down 0–1, comes back24% 31 of 132
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 73
Plachy1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite54% won 143 of 267
Up 2–0, closes it97% 70 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it86% 102 of 119
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDedek4wins
AwayPlachy6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPlachy leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDedek60%3 of 5
AwayPlachy80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dedek5Plachy5n = 10split evenly
S2Dedek4Plachy6n = 10Plachy took 6 of 10
S3Dedek6Plachy4n = 10Dedek took 6 of 10
S4Dedek2Plachy4n = 6Plachy took 4 of 6
S5Dedek1Plachy2n = 3Plachy took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDedekPlachyD − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.939.0−4.1per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDedekPlachyBasisWin rate · lifetime482 / 931 vs 746 / 161151.8%46.3%482 / 931 vs 746 / 1611Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlachyDedek 2.00/Plachy 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.3%
Plachy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Dedek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 24:00J. Dedek—1113123J. Plachy—811100
LSep 2 · 11:30J. Dedek—651181J. Plachy—11119113
LAug 27 · 10:30J. Dedek—81111242J. Plachy—115811113
WAug 25 · 20:30J. Dedek—11613113J. Plachy—6111191
LAug 24 · 03:41J. Dedek—11711792J. Plachy—511711113
LAug 24 · 24:00J. Dedek—5740J. Plachy—1111113
WAug 21 · 24:30J. Dedek—1111113J. Plachy—9990
LAug 18 · 12:58J. Dedek—1491041J. Plachy—121112113
WAug 18 · 11:00J. Dedek—9111211113J. Plachy—11914892
LAug 17 · 02:30J. Dedek—31080J. Plachy—1112113
J. Dedek10
WSep 8 · 20:59J. Dedek2.2011115133J. Plachy1.614911111LSep 8 · 19:00J. Dedek1.73561371T. Dousa2.00111111113LSep 8 · 18:00J. Prokupek1.91118117113J. Dedek1.8091191182WSep 8 · 03:00J. Dedek1.401112113P. Fojt2.7551030WSep 8 · 02:30J. Dedek3.251111113V. Postelt1.338380WSep 8 · 01:30D. Kouble1.83112121112J. Dedek1.83811147113LSep 8 · 24:00J. Dedek1.36611111122P. Fojt3.00111331113LSep 7 · 23:00J. Prokupek1.911111163J. Dedek1.8085140LSep 6 · 21:28J. Trefny1.671112113J. Dedek2.1091050WSep 6 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91611681J. Dedek1.8011311113
J. Plachy10
LSep 8 · 20:59J. Dedek2.2011115133J. Plachy1.614911111LSep 8 · 19:30J. Plachy1.8091110101J. Prokupek1.9111712123LSep 8 · 18:30T. Dousa1.8312212113J. Plachy1.8310111051WSep 8 · 17:30J. Plachy2.101111113J. Trefny1.678750LSep 8 · 16:30J. Trefny1.5391111113J. Plachy2.38117681WSep 8 · 15:30J. Plachy1.441111113Y. Holovatiuk2.633250WSep 8 · 14:30T. Dousa1.9141181182J. Plachy1.80113118113WSep 7 · 13:30J. Plachy1.9111118113J. Trefny1.80891151WSep 7 · 12:30L. Malek2.253650J. Plachy1.571111113WSep 7 · 11:30J. Plachy2.251111107113V. Postelt1.5777121182
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