TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13104689
Played Sep 10Finished
Vladimir Postelt
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118114117––––
Jiri Dedek
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Dedek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVladimir Postelt above · Jiri Dedek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 52 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Jiri Dedek at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Postelt 21–7 Jiri Dedek Jiri Dedek has won 7 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:43What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Postelt
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-7 in 28
Postelt
Correct
gap of 14 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Postelt 1429 vs Dedek 1537
Dedek
Wrong
both rated, 108 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Postelt 20% vs Dedek 40%
Dedek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Postelt 30% vs Dedek 50%
Dedek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Postelt +1 · Dedek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Postelt) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Postelt form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPostelt 1.50 / Dedek 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Dedek)-0.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13104689
Postelt1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite62% won 123 of 200
Up 2–0, closes it95% 60 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it86% 97 of 113
Dedek2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 84 of 207
Down 0–1, comes back24% 31 of 132
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePostelt6wins
AwayDedek4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPostelt leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePostelt85.7%6 of 7
AwayDedek100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Postelt7Dedek3n = 10Postelt took 7 of 10
S2Postelt6Dedek4n = 10Postelt took 6 of 10
S3Postelt5Dedek5n = 10split evenly
S4Postelt2Dedek3n = 5Dedek took 3 of 5
S5Postelt2Dedek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPosteltDedekP − DBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match34.932.7+2.2per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPosteltDedekBasisWin rate · lifetime434 / 823 vs 482 / 93252.7%51.7%434 / 823 vs 482 / 932Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.636.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PosteltPostelt 1.50/Dedek 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.2%
Postelt · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Postelt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 02:30V. Postelt—8380J. Dedek—1111113
WSep 4 · 20:00V. Postelt—1111113J. Dedek—7680
WAug 18 · 10:00V. Postelt—116115113J. Dedek—41181132
WAug 15 · 02:58V. Postelt—11114113J. Dedek—641171
WAug 15 · 01:00V. Postelt—1111113J. Dedek—7990
WJul 5 · 21:30V. Postelt—1111711113J. Dedek—41311562
LJul 5 · 19:30V. Postelt—11112842J. Dedek—791111113
WJun 21 · 22:00V. Postelt—1111113J. Dedek—2190
LJun 16 · 13:30V. Postelt—9380J. Dedek—1111113
LJun 16 · 11:30V. Postelt—101111832J. Dedek—127911113
V. Postelt10
LSep 10 · 10:30T. Vinter1.731111113V. Postelt2.009860WSep 9 · 02:00R. Pavelka2.2011981172V. Postelt1.61711119113LSep 9 · 24:30V. Postelt2.00101190J. Trefny1.731213113LSep 8 · 23:00V. Postelt2.5010770R. Krejci1.501211113LSep 8 · 22:00M. Vedmoch1.53141110113V. Postelt2.381281291LSep 8 · 02:30J. Dedek3.251111113V. Postelt1.338380WSep 8 · 01:00P. Fojt2.5081040V. Postelt1.501112113LSep 7 · 23:30V. Postelt2.3894100D. Kouble1.531111123LSep 7 · 22:00V. Postelt1.83791371J. Prokupek1.83111111113WSep 7 · 13:00V. Postelt1.20411811113L. Malek4.3311611852
J. Dedek10
LSep 10 · 12:00J. Dedek1.916660T. Vinter1.801111113LSep 10 · 10:00J. Dedek1.904730M. Kolar1.801111113WSep 8 · 20:59J. Dedek2.2011115133J. Plachy1.614911111WSep 8 · 20:30J. Dedek2.00115116113J. Plachy1.7351171122LSep 8 · 19:00J. Dedek1.73561371T. Dousa2.00111111113LSep 8 · 18:00J. Prokupek1.91118117113J. Dedek1.8091191182WSep 8 · 03:00J. Dedek1.401112113P. Fojt2.7551030WSep 8 · 02:30J. Dedek3.251111113V. Postelt1.338380WSep 8 · 01:30D. Kouble1.83112121112J. Dedek1.83811147113LSep 8 · 24:00J. Dedek1.36611111122P. Fojt3.00111331113
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