TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13104696
Played Sep 10Finished
Jiri Dedek
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611611611––––
Tomas Vinter
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:41 and never touched — 70.7% is still 70.7%
Graded at full timeJiri Dedek to win
70.7%
70.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Dedek above · Tomas Vinter below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 51 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Jiri Dedek at 70.7%
51 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Dedek 2–2 Tomas Vinter Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:41What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Vinter
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dedek 1507 vs Vinter 1482
Dedek
Wrong
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dedek 40% vs Vinter 80%
Vinter
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dedek 50% vs Vinter 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dedek -2 · Vinter +4
Vinter
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dedek) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vinter form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDedek 1.91 / Vinter 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Dedek)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13104696
Dedek1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 84 of 207
Down 0–1, comes back24% 31 of 132
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 73
Vinter1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 69 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it92% 33 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it80% 55 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeDedek2wins
AwayVinter2wins
2 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDedek66.7%2 of 3
AwayVintern = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dedek3Vinter1n = 4Dedek took 3 of 4
S2Dedek1Vinter3n = 4Vinter took 3 of 4
S3Dedek1Vinter3n = 4Vinter took 3 of 4
S4Dedek3Vinter1n = 4Dedek took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricDedekVinterD − VBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match41.237.8+3.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDedekVinterBasisWin rate · lifetime482 / 933 vs 263 / 52351.7%50.3%482 / 933 vs 263 / 523Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DedekDedek 1.91/Vinter 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Dedek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vinter won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 1 · 21:12J. Dedek—11118113T. Vinter—221121
LSep 1 · 19:30J. Dedek—119511112T. Vinter—911118133
LJun 7 · 17:29J. Dedek—1051171T. Vinter—12119113
WJun 7 · 14:30J. Dedek—118311113T. Vinter—71111642
J. Dedek10
LSep 10 · 11:30V. Postelt1.501111113J. Dedek2.508470LSep 10 · 10:00J. Dedek1.904730M. Kolar1.801111113WSep 8 · 20:59J. Dedek2.2011115133J. Plachy1.614911111WSep 8 · 20:30J. Dedek2.00115116113J. Plachy1.7351171122LSep 8 · 19:00J. Dedek1.73561371T. Dousa2.00111111113LSep 8 · 18:00J. Prokupek1.91118117113J. Dedek1.8091191182WSep 8 · 03:00J. Dedek1.401112113P. Fojt2.7551030WSep 8 · 02:30J. Dedek3.251111113V. Postelt1.338380WSep 8 · 01:30D. Kouble1.83112121112J. Dedek1.83811147113LSep 8 · 24:00J. Dedek1.36611111122P. Fojt3.00111331113
T. Vinter10
WSep 10 · 11:00M. Kolar2.2012840T. Vinter1.611411113WSep 10 · 10:30T. Vinter1.731111113V. Postelt2.009860WSep 10 · 08:58T. Vinter1.7311711123M. Vesely2.002116101WSep 10 · 08:30T. Vinter2.0011811113M. Vesely1.73511641LSep 10 · 07:00T. Vinter2.0344111172J. Svoboda1.62111148113LSep 10 · 06:00J. Stolfa1.53117117113T. Vinter2.3861191182LSep 3 · 21:00M. Sedlak1.611211113T. Vinter2.2010990LSep 3 · 20:30T. Vinter1.738280V. Postelt2.001111113LSep 3 · 19:00T. Vinter1.9141181182D. Tuma1.80111119113LSep 3 · 18:00M. Sedlak1.80121111113T. Vinter1.911013251
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.