TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13103168
Played Sep 10Finished
Tomas Vinter
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119118116––––
Vladimir Postelt
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVladimir Postelt to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Vinter above · Vladimir Postelt below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 56 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Vladimir Postelt at 54.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Vinter 8–4 Vladimir Postelt Vladimir Postelt has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:06What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vinter
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-4 in 12
Vinter
Correct
gap of 4 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vinter 1434 vs Postelt 1443
Postelt
Wrong
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vinter 20% vs Postelt 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vinter 20% vs Postelt 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vinter +1 · Postelt +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vinter) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Postelt form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVinter 1.73 / Postelt 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vinter)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13103168
Vinter1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite52% won 69 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it92% 33 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it80% 55 of 69
Postelt2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog42% won 47 of 112
Down 0–1, comes back21% 13 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVinter7wins
AwayPostelt3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVinter leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVinter71.4%5 of 7
AwayPostelt33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vinter7Postelt3n = 10Vinter took 7 of 10
S2Vinter4Postelt6n = 10Postelt took 6 of 10
S3Vinter6Postelt4n = 10Vinter took 6 of 10
S4Vinter6Postelt4n = 10Vinter took 6 of 10
S5Vinter3Postelt2n = 5Vinter took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVinterPosteltV − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match44.339.6+4.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVinterPosteltBasisWin rate · lifetime260 / 520 vs 434 / 82350%52.7%260 / 520 vs 434 / 823Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VinterVinter 1.73/Postelt 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vinter · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vinter won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 1 · 20:00T. Vinter—11811113V. Postelt—511771
WMay 30 · 16:00T. Vinter—113116113V. Postelt—81171192
LMay 23 · 16:59T. Vinter—88121172V. Postelt—1111109113
WMay 23 · 15:30T. Vinter—1211149113V. Postelt—146121172
WNov 27 · 10:30T. Vinter—71111113V. Postelt—111251
WNov 27 · 08:30T. Vinter—1113149113V. Postelt—711161122
LSep 4 · 09:30T. Vinter—11671192V. Postelt—411115113
WSep 4 · 07:30T. Vinter—11116113V. Postelt—871161
WAug 25 · 12:00T. Vinter—111011113V. Postelt—912971
LJun 26 · 13:30T. Vinter—1166101V. Postelt—71111123
T. Vinter10
WSep 10 · 12:00J. Dedek1.916660T. Vinter1.801111113WSep 10 · 11:00M. Kolar2.2012840T. Vinter1.611411113WSep 10 · 08:58T. Vinter1.7311711123M. Vesely2.002116101WSep 10 · 08:30T. Vinter2.0011811113M. Vesely1.73511641LSep 10 · 07:00T. Vinter2.0344111172J. Svoboda1.62111148113LSep 10 · 06:00J. Stolfa1.53117117113T. Vinter2.3861191182LSep 3 · 21:00M. Sedlak1.611211113T. Vinter2.2010990LSep 3 · 20:30T. Vinter1.738280V. Postelt2.001111113LSep 3 · 19:00T. Vinter1.9141181182D. Tuma1.80111119113LSep 3 · 18:00M. Sedlak1.80121111113T. Vinter1.911013251
V. Postelt10
WSep 10 · 11:30V. Postelt1.501111113J. Dedek2.508470WSep 9 · 02:00R. Pavelka2.2011981172V. Postelt1.61711119113LSep 9 · 24:30V. Postelt2.00101190J. Trefny1.731213113LSep 8 · 23:00V. Postelt2.5010770R. Krejci1.501211113LSep 8 · 22:00M. Vedmoch1.53141110113V. Postelt2.381281291LSep 8 · 02:30J. Dedek3.251111113V. Postelt1.338380WSep 8 · 01:00P. Fojt2.5081040V. Postelt1.501112113LSep 7 · 23:30V. Postelt2.3894100D. Kouble1.531111123LSep 7 · 22:00V. Postelt1.83791371J. Prokupek1.83111111113WSep 3 · 20:30T. Vinter1.738280V. Postelt2.001111113
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