TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13104106
Played Sep 10Finished
Milan Kolar
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 7
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1214811411––––
Tomas Vinter
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:58 and never touched — 77.3% is still 77.3%
Graded at full timeMilan Kolar to win
77.3%
77.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMilan Kolar above · Tomas Vinter below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 60 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Milan Kolar at 77.3%
60 points played in total.
H2H Milan Kolar 0–2 Tomas Vinter Milan Kolar has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:58What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Vinter
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kolar 1505 vs Vinter 1434
Kolar
Wrong
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolar 100% vs Vinter 20%
Kolar
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolar 70% vs Vinter 20%
Kolar
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolar +5 · Vinter +1
Kolar
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Vinter) · live re-read · sealed at 23% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vinter form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolar 2.20 / Vinter 1.61
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Vinter)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13104106
Kolar2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 89 of 198
Down 0–1, comes back21% 18 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 45
Vinter1.61
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite52% won 69 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it92% 33 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it80% 55 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKolar0wins
AwayVinter2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderVinter leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKolarVinterK − VBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match33.543.5−10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolarVinterBasisWin rate · lifetime403 / 808 vs 260 / 52149.9%49.9%403 / 808 vs 260 / 521Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VinterKolar 2.20/Vinter 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Vinter · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vinter won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 6 · 13:00M. Kolar—113641T. Vinter—71111113
LAug 6 · 10:30M. Kolar—11115972T. Vinter—771111113
M. Kolar10
WSep 10 · 10:00J. Dedek1.904730M. Kolar1.801111113WSep 4 · 21:30M. Kolar1.9011118113V. Postelt1.80561181WSep 4 · 20:30M. Kolar2.00911611123M. Placek1.73116119102WSep 4 · 19:00M. Kolar2.2511811113V. Postelt1.57711291WSep 4 · 18:00J. Dedek1.9110115101M. Kolar1.8012311123WSep 4 · 13:30D. Parhomenko1.541010111292M. Kolar2.181212710113WSep 4 · 12:30M. Kolar1.301111113J. Steffan3.408780WSep 4 · 11:00M. Kolar2.25111111113L. Malek1.57139971LSep 4 · 10:00D. Parhomenko1.73111011113M. Kolar2.00412851LSep 3 · 13:02J. Prokupek2.0091111113M. Kolar1.73117431
T. Vinter10
WSep 10 · 10:30T. Vinter1.731111113V. Postelt2.009860WSep 10 · 08:58T. Vinter1.7311711123M. Vesely2.002116101WSep 10 · 08:30T. Vinter2.0011811113M. Vesely1.73511641LSep 10 · 07:00T. Vinter2.0344111172J. Svoboda1.62111148113LSep 10 · 06:00J. Stolfa1.53117117113T. Vinter2.3861191182LSep 3 · 21:00M. Sedlak1.611211113T. Vinter2.2010990LSep 3 · 20:30T. Vinter1.738280V. Postelt2.001111113LSep 3 · 19:00T. Vinter1.9141181182D. Tuma1.80111119113LSep 3 · 18:00M. Sedlak1.80121111113T. Vinter1.911013251LSep 1 · 21:12J. Dedek2.1511118113T. Vinter1.63221121
Upcoming Matches
M. Kolar1 of 4 neutral
T. Vinter
Nothing scheduled
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