TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13109450
Played Sep 10Finished
Milan Kolar
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1188111012113117
Tomas Dousa
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:33 and never touched — 62.3% is still 62.3%
Graded at full timeTomas Dousa to win
62.3%
62.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMilan Kolar above · Tomas Dousa below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 92 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Tomas Dousa at 62.3%
92 points played in total.
H2H Milan Kolar 6–19 Tomas Dousa Milan Kolar has won 6 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:33What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Dousa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-19 in 25
Dousa
Wrong
gap of 13 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolar 1511 vs Dousa 1590
Dousa
Wrong
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolar 60% vs Dousa 100%
Dousa
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolar 80% vs Dousa 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolar +1 · Dousa +5
Dousa
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Dousa) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dousa form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolar 2.50 / Dousa 1.50
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Dousa)+4.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13109450
Kolar2.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 89 of 198
Down 0–1, comes back21% 18 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 45
Dousa1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 97 of 178
Up 2–0, closes it84% 42 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it74% 65 of 88
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolar2wins
AwayDousa8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDousa leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolar33.3%1 of 3
AwayDousa85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolar3Dousa7n = 10Dousa took 7 of 10
S2Kolar4Dousa6n = 10Dousa took 6 of 10
S3Kolar6Dousa4n = 10Kolar took 6 of 10
S4Kolar4Dousa4n = 8split evenly
S5Kolar0Dousa4n = 4Dousa took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolarDousaK − DBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.940.1−2.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolarDousaBasisWin rate · lifetime401 / 800 vs 350 / 70350.1%49.8%401 / 800 vs 350 / 703Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DousaKolar 2.50/Dousa 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.8%
Dousa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kolar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 19:00M. Kolar—691181T. Dousa—11118113
LAug 13 · 19:00M. Kolar—11119952T. Dousa—921111113
LAug 4 · 17:07M. Kolar—851111102T. Dousa—111149123
WAug 4 · 14:30M. Kolar—1111113T. Dousa—9740
WAug 3 · 19:00M. Kolar—91111113T. Dousa—114371
LJul 31 · 20:30M. Kolar—11541182T. Dousa—611116113
LMay 19 · 16:30M. Kolar—681371T. Dousa—111111113
LNov 29 · 14:30M. Kolar—36111252T. Dousa—1111910113
LNov 29 · 12:00M. Kolar—717991T. Dousa—111511113
LNov 25 · 17:30M. Kolar—89110T. Dousa—1111133
M. Kolar10
WSep 10 · 15:00M. Sedlak1.5061030M. Kolar2.501112113WSep 10 · 13:00M. Kolar1.611111113J. Dedek2.207890LSep 10 · 12:30M. Kolar2.0010750V. Postelt1.731211113LSep 10 · 11:00M. Kolar2.2012840T. Vinter1.611411113WSep 10 · 10:00J. Dedek1.904730M. Kolar1.801111113WSep 4 · 21:30M. Kolar1.9011118113V. Postelt1.80561181WSep 4 · 20:30M. Kolar2.00911611123M. Placek1.73116119102WSep 4 · 19:00M. Kolar2.2511811113V. Postelt1.57711291WSep 4 · 18:00J. Dedek1.9110115101M. Kolar1.8012311123WSep 4 · 13:30D. Parhomenko1.541010111292M. Kolar2.181212710113
T. Dousa10
WSep 10 · 15:30T. Dousa2.0081112113M. Vedmoch1.731171061WSep 8 · 21:28T. Dousa1.801111123J. Prokupek1.9184100WSep 8 · 20:00J. Prokupek1.914890T. Dousa1.801111113WSep 8 · 19:00J. Dedek1.73561371T. Dousa2.00111111113WSep 8 · 18:30T. Dousa1.8312212113J. Plachy1.8310111051WSep 8 · 17:00Y. Holovatiuk2.30119111172T. Dousa1.52131188113WSep 8 · 16:00Y. Holovatiuk3.0078111142T. Dousa1.36111176113LSep 8 · 15:00J. Trefny1.801311113T. Dousa1.9111580LSep 8 · 14:30T. Dousa1.9141181182J. Plachy1.80113118113WSep 7 · 16:59R. Pavelka1.831013111192T. Dousa1.831211136113
Upcoming Matches
M. Kolar
Nothing scheduled
T. Dousa1 of 8 neutral
Sep 10 · 16:30T. Dousa2.75M. Sedlak1.40—Sep 11 · 18:30T. Dousa1.83J. Plachy1.83—Sep 11 · 19:00T. Dousa1.73J. Prokupek2.00—Sep 11 · 20:00T. Dousa—T. Janata——Sep 11 · 22:30T. Dousa1.83J. Plachy1.83—Sep 11 · 23:30T. Dousa1.85J. Dedek1.85—Sep 12 · 24:30T. Dousa1.40Y. Holovatiuk2.75—Sep 12 · 01:30T. Dousa2.50T. Janata1.50—
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