TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13109847
Played Sep 10Finished
Milan Kolar
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117118119––––
Jiri Dedek
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingMilan Kolar above · Jiri Dedek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 57 set 3, 11-9
57 points played in total.
H2H Milan Kolar 31–22 Jiri Dedek Jiri Dedek has won 22 of their 53 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Kolar beat Dedek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kolar)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolar 1.61 / Dedek 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 42%
Edge (Kolar)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13109847
Kolar1.61
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 127 of 201
Up 2–0, closes it88% 67 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it76% 97 of 128
Dedek2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 84 of 207
Down 0–1, comes back24% 31 of 132
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolar6wins
AwayDedek4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKolar leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolar75%6 of 8
AwayDedekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolar8Dedek2n = 10Kolar took 8 of 10
S2Kolar6Dedek4n = 10Kolar took 6 of 10
S3Kolar5Dedek5n = 10split evenly
S4Kolar2Dedek6n = 8Dedek took 6 of 8
S5Kolar2Dedek1n = 3Kolar took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolarDedekK − DBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.735.4+3.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolarDedekBasisWin rate · lifetime400 / 800 vs 482 / 93450%51.6%400 / 800 vs 482 / 934Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolarKolar 1.61/Dedek 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
Kolar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kolar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 10:00M. Kolar—1111113J. Dedek—4730
WSep 4 · 18:00M. Kolar—12311123J. Dedek—10115101
LSep 1 · 20:30M. Kolar—3111112102J. Dedek—114614123
WAug 30 · 20:30M. Kolar—111166123J. Dedek—461111102
WAug 16 · 16:30M. Kolar—121199113J. Dedek—108111172
LAug 15 · 02:00M. Kolar—781371J. Dedek—111111113
WAug 13 · 21:30M. Kolar—1111113J. Dedek—6760
LAug 13 · 18:00M. Kolar—116761J. Dedek—41111113
WJul 30 · 21:13M. Kolar—11114113J. Dedek—531141
LJul 30 · 20:30M. Kolar—11114101J. Dedek—91311123
M. Kolar10
LSep 10 · 12:30M. Kolar2.0010750V. Postelt1.731211113LSep 10 · 11:00M. Kolar2.2012840T. Vinter1.611411113WSep 10 · 10:00J. Dedek1.904730M. Kolar1.801111113WSep 4 · 21:30M. Kolar1.9011118113V. Postelt1.80561181WSep 4 · 20:30M. Kolar2.00911611123M. Placek1.73116119102WSep 4 · 19:00M. Kolar2.2511811113V. Postelt1.57711291WSep 4 · 18:00J. Dedek1.9110115101M. Kolar1.8012311123WSep 4 · 13:30D. Parhomenko1.541010111292M. Kolar2.181212710113WSep 4 · 12:30M. Kolar1.301111113J. Steffan3.408780WSep 4 · 11:00M. Kolar2.25111111113L. Malek1.57139971
J. Dedek10
LSep 10 · 12:00J. Dedek1.916660T. Vinter1.801111113LSep 10 · 11:30V. Postelt1.501111113J. Dedek2.508470LSep 10 · 10:00J. Dedek1.904730M. Kolar1.801111113WSep 8 · 20:59J. Dedek2.2011115133J. Plachy1.614911111WSep 8 · 20:30J. Dedek2.00115116113J. Plachy1.7351171122LSep 8 · 19:00J. Dedek1.73561371T. Dousa2.00111111113LSep 8 · 18:00J. Prokupek1.91118117113J. Dedek1.8091191182WSep 8 · 03:00J. Dedek1.401112113P. Fojt2.7551030WSep 8 · 02:30J. Dedek3.251111113V. Postelt1.338380LSep 4 · 18:00J. Dedek1.9110115101M. Kolar1.8012311123
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