TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13104685
Played Sep 10Finished
Milan Kolar
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012711511––––
Vladimir Postelt
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:41 and never touched — 57.9% is still 57.9%
Graded at full timeMilan Kolar to win
57.9%
57.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMilan Kolar above · Vladimir Postelt below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 56 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Milan Kolar at 57.9%
56 points played in total.
H2H Milan Kolar 14–21 Vladimir Postelt Milan Kolar has won 14 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:41What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Postelt
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-21 in 35
Postelt
Correct
gap of 7 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolar 1503 vs Postelt 1461
Kolar
Wrong
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolar 80% vs Postelt 40%
Kolar
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolar 80% vs Postelt 30%
Kolar
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolar -1 · Postelt +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Postelt) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Postelt form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolar 2.00 / Postelt 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Postelt)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13104685
Kolar2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 89 of 198
Down 0–1, comes back21% 18 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 45
Postelt1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite62% won 123 of 200
Up 2–0, closes it95% 60 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it86% 97 of 113
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolar7wins
AwayPostelt3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKolar leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolar100%6 of 6
AwayPostelt75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolar6Postelt4n = 10Kolar took 6 of 10
S2Kolar6Postelt4n = 10Kolar took 6 of 10
S3Kolar5Postelt5n = 10split evenly
S4Kolar4Postelt4n = 8split evenly
S5Kolar3Postelt1n = 4Kolar took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolarPosteltK − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.837.5+4.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolarPosteltBasisWin rate · lifetime401 / 801 vs 433 / 82150.1%52.7%401 / 801 vs 433 / 821Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PosteltKolar 2.00/Postelt 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Postelt · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Postelt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 21:30M. Kolar—11118113V. Postelt—561181
WSep 4 · 19:00M. Kolar—11811113V. Postelt—711291
LAug 19 · 13:30M. Kolar—411111142V. Postelt—116713113
WAug 19 · 11:30M. Kolar—1411115113V. Postelt—16941152
WAug 15 · 21:30M. Kolar—119711113V. Postelt—61111472
WAug 15 · 20:00M. Kolar—1311812113V. Postelt—117111472
WAug 14 · 22:00M. Kolar—1212123V. Postelt—1010100
WJul 20 · 07:00M. Kolar—111111113V. Postelt—461371
LMay 19 · 14:00M. Kolar—891181V. Postelt—11119113
LFeb 2 · 20:30M. Kolar—9680V. Postelt—1111103
M. Kolar10
LSep 10 · 11:00M. Kolar2.2012840T. Vinter1.611411113WSep 10 · 10:00J. Dedek1.904730M. Kolar1.801111113WSep 4 · 21:30M. Kolar1.9011118113V. Postelt1.80561181WSep 4 · 20:30M. Kolar2.00911611123M. Placek1.73116119102WSep 4 · 19:00M. Kolar2.2511811113V. Postelt1.57711291WSep 4 · 18:00J. Dedek1.9110115101M. Kolar1.8012311123WSep 4 · 13:30D. Parhomenko1.541010111292M. Kolar2.181212710113WSep 4 · 12:30M. Kolar1.301111113J. Steffan3.408780WSep 4 · 11:00M. Kolar2.25111111113L. Malek1.57139971LSep 4 · 10:00D. Parhomenko1.73111011113M. Kolar2.00412851
V. Postelt10
WSep 10 · 11:30V. Postelt1.501111113J. Dedek2.508470LSep 10 · 10:30T. Vinter1.731111113V. Postelt2.009860WSep 9 · 02:00R. Pavelka2.2011981172V. Postelt1.61711119113LSep 9 · 24:30V. Postelt2.00101190J. Trefny1.731213113LSep 8 · 23:00V. Postelt2.5010770R. Krejci1.501211113LSep 8 · 22:00M. Vedmoch1.53141110113V. Postelt2.381281291LSep 8 · 02:30J. Dedek3.251111113V. Postelt1.338380WSep 8 · 01:00P. Fojt2.5081040V. Postelt1.501112113LSep 4 · 21:30M. Kolar1.9011118113V. Postelt1.80561181LSep 4 · 19:00M. Kolar2.2511811113V. Postelt1.57711291
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