TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13123158
Played Sep 13Finished
Martin Sobisek
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
91112141214––––
Martin Vizek
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingMartin Sobisek above · Martin Vizek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 12-14
Point 72 set 3, 12-14
72 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sobisek 16–4 Martin Vizek Martin Vizek has won 4 of their 20 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Sobisek beat Vizek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Sobisek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vizek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobisek 1.50 / Vizek 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Sobisek)+3.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13123158
Sobisek1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite65% won 105 of 162
Up 2–0, closes it98% 59 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it83% 80 of 96
Vizek2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog46% won 33 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back32% 13 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back17% 3 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSobisek6wins
AwayVizek4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSobisek leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSobisek83.3%5 of 6
AwayVizek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sobisek6Vizek4n = 10Sobisek took 6 of 10
S2Sobisek4Vizek6n = 10Vizek took 6 of 10
S3Sobisek6Vizek4n = 10Sobisek took 6 of 10
S4Sobisek5Vizek3n = 8Sobisek took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSobisekVizekS − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.136.0+2.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobisekVizekBasisWin rate · lifetime560 / 1186 vs 210 / 41447.2%50.7%560 / 1186 vs 210 / 414Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SobisekSobisek 1.50/Vizek 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66%
Sobisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vizek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 01:30M. Sobisek331111113M. Vizek185670
LSep 11 · 24:00M. Sobisek351161081M. Vizek3621112113
WAug 25 · 14:30M. Sobisek4111136113M. Vizek296111111
WAug 15 · 01:00M. Sobisek4411711153M. Vizek344116131
LAug 14 · 03:28M. Sobisek2211740M. Vizek351311113
WAug 13 · 22:30M. Sobisek48811135113M. Vizek47115111192
WAug 8 · 01:30M. Sobisek3911611113M. Vizek32611781
LAug 7 · 02:00M. Sobisek34771461M. Vizek45111112113
LJun 4 · 02:59M. Sobisek4056111172M. Vizek49111188113
WJun 4 · 24:30M. Sobisek4511118153M. Vizek352911131
M. Sobisek10
LSep 13 · 02:30M. Sobisek1.808111181D. Tuma1.9111613113WSep 13 · 01:30M. Vizek2.205670M. Sobisek1.611111113WSep 13 · 24:00M. Sobisek1.5311119113R. Krejci2.38731181LSep 12 · 23:00P. Pycha1.839121112113M. Sobisek1.83111461062WSep 11 · 02:59M. Sobisek1.361110511133M. Vedmoch3.00512117112WSep 11 · 02:30M. Sobisek1.401311113M. Vedmoch2.7511450WSep 11 · 01:30M. Volf2.63134120M. Sobisek1.441511143LSep 11 · 24:00M. Sobisek1.501161081M. Vizek2.5021112113LSep 10 · 23:00V. Cermak2.635111012113M. Sobisek1.44115121052WSep 10 · 21:30M. Sobisek1.80111310113K. Kapras1.907111251
M. Vizek10
LSep 13 · 01:30M. Vizek2.205670M. Sobisek1.611111113LSep 13 · 24:30P. Pycha1.8311117113M. Vizek1.83971141WSep 12 · 23:30D. Tuma2.20514131272M. Vizek1.6111121114113WSep 12 · 22:30M. Vizek1.501111119113R. Krejci2.5013721182WSep 11 · 03:30M. Vizek1.5081111123V. Cermak2.501158101WSep 11 · 02:00M. Vizek1.50146118123V. Cermak2.501211611102WSep 11 · 01:00M. Vizek1.3671112113M. Vedmoch3.001191071WSep 11 · 24:00M. Sobisek1.501161081M. Vizek2.5021112113WSep 10 · 22:30M. Volf1.91111110862M. Vizek1.80841211113LSep 6 · 21:30M. Volf1.93117118113M. Vizek1.7751191192
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