TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13119378
Played Sep 13Finished
Martin Sobisek
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111161113811––
Daniel Tuma
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:14 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeMartin Sobisek to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Sobisek above · Daniel Tuma below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 79 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Martin Sobisek at 54.9%
79 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sobisek 40–53 Daniel Tuma Martin Sobisek has won 40 of their 93 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:14What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sobisek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
40-53 in 93
Tuma
Correct
gap of 13 in 93, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sobisek 1739 vs Tuma 1568
Sobisek
Wrong
both rated, 171 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sobisek 80% vs Tuma 0%
Sobisek
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sobisek 70% vs Tuma 20%
Sobisek
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sobisek +2 · Tuma -5
Tuma
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sobisek) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tuma form (0%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobisek 1.80 / Tuma 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sobisek)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13119378
Sobisek1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest100%takes the first set · 10 of 10
As favourite65% won 105 of 162
Up 2–0, closes it98% 59 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it83% 80 of 96
Tuma1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog47% won 168 of 356
Down 0–1, comes back29% 54 of 188
Down 0–2, comes back11% 11 of 99
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSobisek8wins
AwayTuma2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSobisek leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSobisek85.7%6 of 7
AwayTuma33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sobisek7Tuma3n = 10Sobisek took 7 of 10
S2Sobisek7Tuma3n = 10Sobisek took 7 of 10
S3Sobisek6Tuma4n = 10Sobisek took 6 of 10
S4Sobisek4Tuma3n = 7Sobisek took 4 of 7
S5Sobisek3Tuma1n = 4Sobisek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSobisekTumaS − TBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.135.7+5.4per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobisekTumaBasisWin rate · lifetime560 / 1185 vs 761 / 145947.3%52.2%560 / 1185 vs 761 / 1459Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SobisekSobisek 1.80/Tuma 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sobisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Tuma won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 22:00M. Sobisek46111113113D. Tuma32631581
LSep 3 · 17:30M. Sobisek371351271D. Tuma47151110113
WSep 3 · 15:30M. Sobisek52118119133D. Tuma44411711112
WAug 21 · 17:28M. Sobisek3911134113D. Tuma378111171
WAug 21 · 16:00M. Sobisek331111113D. Tuma196580
WAug 19 · 10:30M. Sobisek341211113D. Tuma2310760
WAug 19 · 07:30M. Sobisek501011711113D. Tuma4312411972
WAug 17 · 10:30M. Sobisek474111110113D. Tuma4311781252
WAug 17 · 07:30M. Sobisek331111113D. Tuma228860
LAug 15 · 24:00M. Sobisek4011571162D. Tuma47911115113
M. Sobisek10
LSep 13 · 03:00M. Sobisek1.50912120M. Vizek2.501114143WSep 13 · 01:30M. Vizek2.205670M. Sobisek1.611111113WSep 13 · 24:00M. Sobisek1.5311119113R. Krejci2.38731181LSep 12 · 23:00P. Pycha1.839121112113M. Sobisek1.83111461062WSep 11 · 02:59M. Sobisek1.361110511133M. Vedmoch3.00512117112WSep 11 · 02:30M. Sobisek1.401311113M. Vedmoch2.7511450WSep 11 · 01:30M. Volf2.63134120M. Sobisek1.441511143LSep 11 · 24:00M. Sobisek1.501161081M. Vizek2.5021112113LSep 10 · 23:00V. Cermak2.635111012113M. Sobisek1.44115121052WSep 10 · 21:30M. Sobisek1.80111310113K. Kapras1.907111251
D. Tuma10
LSep 13 · 01:00R. Krejci2.101111113D. Tuma1.674640LSep 12 · 23:30D. Tuma2.20514131272M. Vizek1.6111121114113LSep 12 · 22:00D. Tuma2.105770P. Pycha1.671111113LSep 9 · 21:00D. Tuma2.2551530M. Pikous1.571117113LSep 9 · 20:30D. Tuma1.83118581J. Stolfa1.8391111113LSep 9 · 19:00D. Tuma2.3897111182M. Bittner1.53111169113WSep 9 · 18:00M. Pikous1.3699111182D. Tuma3.00111155113LSep 9 · 03:00D. Tuma2.105960A. Hlawatschke1.671111113LSep 9 · 02:30M. Sopko1.441111113D. Tuma2.636960WSep 9 · 01:00A. Hlawatschke1.6795111552D. Tuma2.101111713113
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