TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13115274
Played Sep 13Finished
Richard Krejci
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114116114––––
Daniel Tuma
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:43 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeDaniel Tuma to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRichard Krejci above · Daniel Tuma below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 47 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Daniel Tuma at 56.2%
47 points played in total.
H2H Richard Krejci 10–16 Daniel Tuma Richard Krejci has won 10 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:43What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Tuma
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-16 in 26
Tuma
Wrong
gap of 6 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krejci 1599 vs Tuma 1582
Krejci
Correct
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krejci 60% vs Tuma 0%
Krejci
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krejci 50% vs Tuma 30%
Krejci
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krejci -2 · Tuma -5
Tuma
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Tuma)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tuma form (0%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrejci 2.10 / Tuma 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Tuma)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13115274
Krejci2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 23 of 64
Down 0–1, comes back19% 7 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Tuma1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 127 of 208
Up 2–0, closes it93% 63 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it78% 95 of 122
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrejci3wins
AwayTuma7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderTuma leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrejci50%2 of 4
AwayTuma83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krejci4Tuma6n = 10Tuma took 6 of 10
S2Krejci5Tuma5n = 10split evenly
S3Krejci3Tuma7n = 10Tuma took 7 of 10
S4Krejci2Tuma5n = 7Tuma took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrejciTumaK − TBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.637.3−2.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrejciTumaBasisWin rate · lifetime186 / 351 vs 761 / 145853%52.2%186 / 351 vs 761 / 1458Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TumaKrejci 2.10/Tuma 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Tuma · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Krejci won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 03:28R. Krejci37911891D. Tuma4111811113
WSep 1 · 24:00R. Krejci331111113D. Tuma186570
WAug 25 · 01:00R. Krejci549111211113D. Tuma4511714492
LJul 29 · 22:00R. Krejci204790D. Tuma331111113
LJul 26 · 23:00R. Krejci34139841D. Tuma44111111113
LJul 25 · 02:30R. Krejci207580D. Tuma331111113
WJul 3 · 01:00R. Krejci3711114113D. Tuma30671161
LJan 20 · 01:00R. Krejci4111411782D. Tuma47611811113
LNov 26 · 02:30R. Krejci351471131D. Tuma4316115113
LNov 20 · 04:30R. Krejci35911871D. Tuma3911611113
R. Krejci10
LSep 13 · 24:00M. Sobisek1.5311119113R. Krejci2.38731181LSep 12 · 22:30M. Vizek1.501111119113R. Krejci2.5013721182WSep 12 · 02:58R. Krejci2.00119611113V. Cermak1.7371111592WSep 12 · 01:30R. Krejci3.251111113M. Sopko1.338790WSep 12 · 24:30P. Pycha1.57115561R. Krejci2.2591111113LSep 11 · 23:30S. Kadavy1.6114611123R. Krejci2.2012118101LSep 11 · 22:30R. Krejci2.008490V. Cermak1.731111113LSep 9 · 03:30R. Krejci1.917550M. Vedmoch1.801111113WSep 9 · 02:30R. Krejci1.831111113M. Vedmoch1.837550WSep 9 · 01:30J. Trefny3.5011291152R. Krejci1.28711119113
D. Tuma10
LSep 12 · 23:30D. Tuma2.20514131272M. Vizek1.6111121114113LSep 12 · 22:00D. Tuma2.105770P. Pycha1.671111113LSep 9 · 21:00D. Tuma2.2551530M. Pikous1.571117113LSep 9 · 20:30D. Tuma1.83118581J. Stolfa1.8391111113LSep 9 · 19:00D. Tuma2.3897111182M. Bittner1.53111169113WSep 9 · 18:00M. Pikous1.3699111182D. Tuma3.00111155113LSep 9 · 03:00D. Tuma2.105960A. Hlawatschke1.671111113LSep 9 · 02:30M. Sopko1.441111113D. Tuma2.636960WSep 9 · 01:00A. Hlawatschke1.6795111552D. Tuma2.101111713113WSep 8 · 23:30D. Tuma2.10115911113V. Cermak1.6781111952
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.