TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13115518
Played Sep 13Finished
Martin Vizek
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511611711––––
Martin Sobisek
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:42 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeMartin Sobisek to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Vizek above · Martin Sobisek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 51 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Martin Sobisek at 59.3%
51 points played in total.
H2H Martin Vizek 4–15 Martin Sobisek Martin Vizek has won 4 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:42What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Sobisek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-15 in 19
Sobisek
Correct
gap of 11 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vizek 1668 vs Sobisek 1727
Sobisek
Correct
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vizek 80% vs Sobisek 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vizek 80% vs Sobisek 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vizek -1 · Sobisek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Sobisek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sobisek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVizek 2.20 / Sobisek 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Sobisek)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13115518
Vizek2.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog46% won 33 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back32% 13 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back17% 3 of 18
Sobisek1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
100%takes the first set · 10 of 10
As favourite65% won 105 of 162
Up 2–0, closes it98% 59 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it83% 80 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVizek4wins
AwaySobisek6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSobisek leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVizek75%3 of 4
AwaySobisek83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vizek4Sobisek6n = 10Sobisek took 6 of 10
S2Vizek7Sobisek3n = 10Vizek took 7 of 10
S3Vizek4Sobisek6n = 10Sobisek took 6 of 10
S4Vizek3Sobisek6n = 9Sobisek took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVizekSobisekV − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.138.8−0.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVizekSobisekBasisWin rate · lifetime210 / 413 vs 559 / 118450.9%47.2%210 / 413 vs 559 / 1184Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SobisekVizek 2.20/Sobisek 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Sobisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sobisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 24:00M. Vizek3621112113M. Sobisek351161081
LAug 25 · 14:30M. Vizek296111111M. Sobisek4111136113
LAug 15 · 01:00M. Vizek344116131M. Sobisek4411711153
WAug 14 · 03:28M. Vizek351311113M. Sobisek2211740
LAug 13 · 22:30M. Vizek47115111192M. Sobisek48811135113
LAug 8 · 01:30M. Vizek32611781M. Sobisek3911611113
WAug 7 · 02:00M. Vizek45111112113M. Sobisek34771461
WJun 4 · 02:59M. Vizek49111188113M. Sobisek4056111172
LJun 4 · 24:30M. Vizek352911131M. Sobisek4511118153
LMay 24 · 24:00M. Vizek399119101M. Sobisek4011611123
M. Vizek10
LSep 13 · 24:30P. Pycha1.8311117113M. Vizek1.83971141WSep 12 · 23:30D. Tuma2.20514131272M. Vizek1.6111121114113WSep 12 · 22:30M. Vizek1.501111119113R. Krejci2.5013721182WSep 11 · 03:30M. Vizek1.5081111123V. Cermak2.501158101WSep 11 · 02:00M. Vizek1.50146118123V. Cermak2.501211611102WSep 11 · 01:00M. Vizek1.3671112113M. Vedmoch3.001191071WSep 11 · 24:00M. Sobisek1.501161081M. Vizek2.5021112113WSep 10 · 22:30M. Volf1.91111110862M. Vizek1.80841211113LSep 6 · 21:30M. Volf1.93117118113M. Vizek1.7751191192WSep 6 · 20:00M. Vizek1.8312101411123M. Volf1.831412126102
M. Sobisek10
LSep 13 · 02:30M. Sobisek1.808111181D. Tuma1.9111613113WSep 13 · 24:00M. Sobisek1.5311119113R. Krejci2.38731181LSep 12 · 23:00P. Pycha1.839121112113M. Sobisek1.83111461062WSep 11 · 02:59M. Sobisek1.361110511133M. Vedmoch3.00512117112WSep 11 · 02:30M. Sobisek1.401311113M. Vedmoch2.7511450WSep 11 · 01:30M. Volf2.63134120M. Sobisek1.441511143LSep 11 · 24:00M. Sobisek1.501161081M. Vizek2.5021112113LSep 10 · 23:00V. Cermak2.635111012113M. Sobisek1.44115121052WSep 10 · 21:30M. Sobisek1.80111310113K. Kapras1.907111251WSep 10 · 20:30K. Kapras1.80921231M. Sobisek1.91111110113
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