TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13128380
Played Sep 14Finished
Adam Linek
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117611119711711
Kamil Kostyk
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:52 and never touched — 69.6% is still 69.6%
Graded at full timeAdam Linek to win
69.6%
69.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAdam Linek above · Kamil Kostyk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 91 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Adam Linek at 69.6%
91 points played in total.
H2H Adam Linek 1–1 Kamil Kostyk Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:52What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kostyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Linek 1539 vs Kostyk 1383
Linek
Wrong
both rated, 157 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Linek 80% vs Kostyk 0%
Linek
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Linek 80% vs Kostyk 10%
Linek
Wrong
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Linek +4 · Kostyk -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Kostyk) · live re-read · sealed at 30% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kostyk form (0%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLinek 2.25 / Kostyk 1.57
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Kostyk)-4.4pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13128380
Linek2.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog41% won 146 of 356
Down 0–1, comes back26% 52 of 199
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 94
Kostyk1.57
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 44 of 70
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it76% 34 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeLinek1wins
AwayKostyk1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricLinekKostykL − KBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match35.036.5−1.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLinekKostykBasisWin rate · lifetime787 / 1683 vs 219 / 44146.8%49.7%787 / 1683 vs 219 / 441Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KostykLinek 2.25/Kostyk 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Kostyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kostyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 25 · 14:40A. Linek247890K. Kostyk331111113
WSep 25 · 06:30A. Linek4611911153K. Kostyk409117131
A. Linek10
WSep 14 · 18:30M. Kolek1.6188111192A. Linek2.20111153113WSep 14 · 17:40J. Witkowski1.537111081A. Linek2.3811812113WSep 14 · 16:55A. Linek3.00711115113K. Staszczyk1.3611691162WSep 14 · 15:45A. Linek1.731151110123K. Rudomina2.00911912102LSep 14 · 24:35A. Linek1.884990K. Rudomina1.821111113WSep 13 · 23:45R. Stapor1.9048111162A. Linek1.75111159113WSep 13 · 22:35A. Linek1.3011118123K. Marchlewski3.108911101WSep 13 · 21:55D. Kotwica2.5591111292A. Linek1.42118911113WSep 11 · 08:05D. Kosmal1.4013580A. Linek2.651511113LSep 11 · 07:15B. Mleczko1.8361111113A. Linek1.86118971
K. Kostyk10
LSep 14 · 19:15K. Staszczyk1.6151111113K. Kostyk2.20119821LSep 14 · 17:20M. Kolek1.57811118113K. Kostyk2.2511761162LSep 14 · 16:30K. Rudomina1.91111111113K. Kostyk1.80136951LSep 14 · 15:00J. Witkowski1.61511913113K. Kostyk2.20118111172LSep 8 · 23:20K. Kapik1.441111113K. Kostyk2.636370LSep 8 · 22:35K. Staszczyk1.539111511113K. Kostyk2.3811517482LSep 8 · 22:10K. Kostyk2.0081111482L. Pietraszko1.73119911113LSep 8 · 21:00M. Rutkowski1.5011118113K. Kostyk2.50761111WSep 8 · 20:30K. Kostyk2.631111113K. Kapik1.448870LSep 8 · 18:50K. Kostyk3.751111361K. Glazowski1.2513611113
Upcoming Matches
A. Linek
Sep 14 · 22:10A. Linek1.30J. Lamperski3.40—Sep 14 · 22:35A. Linek2.25D. Solilo1.57—Sep 14 · 23:20A. Linek2.75K. Staszczyk1.40—Sep 15 · 15:00A. Linek—K. Kostyk——Sep 15 · 16:30A. Linek—J. Witkowski——Sep 15 · 17:20A. Linek—J. Lamperski——Sep 15 · 19:15A. Linek—L. Pietraszko——Sep 15 · 20:05A. Linek—B. Kwodawski——Sep 15 · 21:00A. Linek—K. Kostyk——Sep 15 · 22:55A. Linek—D. Solilo——
K. Kostyk
Sep 14 · 22:55K. Kostyk1.44J. Lamperski2.63—Sep 14 · 23:45K. Kostyk2.38D. Solilo1.53—Sep 15 · 24:10K. Kostyk2.10K. Staszczyk1.67—Sep 15 · 15:00K. Kostyk—A. Linek——Sep 15 · 16:05K. Kostyk—J. Lamperski——Sep 15 · 17:40K. Kostyk—B. Kwodawski——Sep 15 · 18:50K. Kostyk—J. Witkowski——Sep 15 · 20:30K. Kostyk—L. Pietraszko——Sep 15 · 21:00K. Kostyk—A. Linek——Sep 15 · 22:10K. Kostyk—D. Solilo——
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