TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13093450
Played Sep 8Finished
Kamil Kostyk
Home
3.75
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1113116311611––
Kacper Glazowski
Away
1.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKacper Glazowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKamil Kostyk above · Kacper Glazowski below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 72 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Kacper Glazowski at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Kamil Kostyk 1–3 Kacper Glazowski Kamil Kostyk has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:12What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Glazowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Glazowski
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kostyk 1430 vs Glazowski 1733
Glazowski
Correct
both rated, 304 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kostyk 20% vs Glazowski 60%
Glazowski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kostyk 10% vs Glazowski 50%
Glazowski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kostyk -4 · Glazowski -2
Kostyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Glazowski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Glazowski form (60%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKostyk 3.75 / Glazowski 1.25
Signal prob.22% / 78%
Edge (Glazowski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13093450
Kostyk3.75
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 46 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back21% 16 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 42
Glazowski1.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 136 of 211
Up 2–0, closes it98% 62 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it83% 114 of 138
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKostyk1wins
AwayGlazowski3wins
Glazowski leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKostykn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayGlazowski75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kostyk0Glazowski4n = 4Glazowski took 4 of 4
S2Kostyk2Glazowski2n = 4split evenly
S3Kostyk3Glazowski1n = 4Kostyk took 3 of 4
S4Kostyk1Glazowski3n = 4Glazowski took 3 of 4
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away375%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricKostykGlazowskiK − GBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set04−4of 4Avg pointsper match32.838.2−5.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKostykGlazowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime218 / 431 vs 496 / 101350.6%49%218 / 431 vs 496 / 1013Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GlazowskiKostyk 3.75/Glazowski 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.8%
Glazowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Glazowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 7 · 16:30K. Kostyk—611521K. Glazowski—1191183
LApr 7 · 14:00K. Kostyk—951191K. Glazowski—11117113
WApr 7 · 08:45K. Kostyk—81112113K. Glazowski—1161051
LDec 21 · 11:00K. Kostyk—1031171K. Glazowski—12118113
K. Kostyk10
LSep 8 · 17:40K. Kostyk2.2081313852L. Pietraszko1.6111111111113LSep 8 · 16:05K. Kostyk2.75881161A. Daniel1.4011117113LSep 8 · 15:00K. Kostyk2.25610100M. Rutkowski1.571112123LSep 8 · 24:10M. Rutkowski1.501111143K. Kostyk2.5097120WSep 7 · 23:45K. Kostyk1.5011411113B. Sulkowski2.50511591LSep 7 · 22:55K. Kostyk2.63149971K. Kapik1.44121111113LSep 7 · 21:00K. Kostyk2.2071181862K. Staszczyk1.611161116113LSep 7 · 20:05K. Kapik1.57811119123K. Kostyk2.25117911102LSep 7 · 19:15M. Rutkowski1.401111113K. Kostyk2.759980LSep 7 · 17:20K. Strowski1.221111811113K. Kostyk4.0049111332
K. Glazowski10
LSep 8 · 19:40A. Daniel1.61116136113K. Glazowski2.20911111192LSep 8 · 18:05K. Glazowski1.5311414582K. Kapik2.388111211113LSep 8 · 16:30K. Glazowski1.73101151162M. Rutkowski2.00128117113WSep 8 · 15:45L. Pietraszko3.0021140K. Glazowski1.361113113WSep 8 · 14:35K. Glazowski1.86101111113A. Daniel1.80128581WSep 8 · 13:00K. Glazowski1.90101111123M. Sklensky1.741279101WSep 8 · 11:45K. Glazowski1.8311119113J. Kuzmicz1.83881181WSep 8 · 10:05K. Glazowski1.5711811113G. Poliniewicz2.16611991LSep 8 · 09:00K. Glazowski1.5511713582K. Wisniewski2.205111111113LSep 7 · 19:40K. Strowski1.911251012113K. Glazowski1.801011121082
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