TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13093546
Played Sep 8Finished
Kacper Glazowski
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1012118511117611
Mateusz Rutkowski
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:35 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeMateusz Rutkowski to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKacper Glazowski above · Mateusz Rutkowski below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 92 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Mateusz Rutkowski at 54.5%
92 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:35What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Glazowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Glazowski 1758 vs Rutkowski 1703
Glazowski
Wrong
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Glazowski 100% vs Rutkowski 80%
Glazowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Glazowski 60% vs Rutkowski 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Glazowski +5 · Rutkowski +2
Glazowski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Glazowski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rutkowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGlazowski 1.73 / Rutkowski 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Glazowski)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13093546
Glazowski1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 136 of 211
Up 2–0, closes it98% 62 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it83% 114 of 138
Rutkowski2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 163 of 374
Down 0–1, comes back22% 47 of 211
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 98
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricGlazowskiRutkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime496 / 1011 vs 774 / 137949.1%56.1%496 / 1011 vs 774 / 1379Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GlazowskiGlazowski 1.73/Rutkowski 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Glazowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Rutkowski won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
K. Glazowski10
WSep 8 · 15:45L. Pietraszko3.0021140K. Glazowski1.361113113WSep 8 · 14:35K. Glazowski1.86101111113A. Daniel1.80128581WSep 8 · 13:00K. Glazowski1.90101111123M. Sklensky1.741279101WSep 8 · 11:45K. Glazowski1.8311119113J. Kuzmicz1.83881181WSep 8 · 10:05K. Glazowski1.5711811113G. Poliniewicz2.16611991LSep 8 · 09:00K. Glazowski1.5511713582K. Wisniewski2.205111111113LSep 7 · 19:40K. Strowski1.911251012113K. Glazowski1.801011121082LSep 7 · 18:50K. Staszczyk2.50111387113K. Glazowski1.50911111182LSep 7 · 18:05K. Glazowski1.839111081M. Rutkowski1.8311912113WSep 7 · 16:30K. Glazowski1.2811911113K. Kostyk3.50611541
M. Rutkowski10
WSep 8 · 17:20A. Daniel1.611198121M. Rutkowski2.2081111143WSep 8 · 15:00K. Kostyk2.25610100M. Rutkowski1.571112123WSep 8 · 24:10M. Rutkowski1.501111143K. Kostyk2.5097120LSep 7 · 23:20M. Rutkowski2.00911101562K. Staszczyk1.731181213113WSep 7 · 21:50M. Rutkowski1.171111113B. Sulkowski4.507880WSep 7 · 21:25M. Rutkowski1.73714413113K. Kapik2.001112111182WSep 7 · 20:30K. Staszczyk1.73781111112M. Rutkowski2.00111168133WSep 7 · 19:15M. Rutkowski1.401111113K. Kostyk2.759980WSep 7 · 18:05K. Glazowski1.839111081M. Rutkowski1.8311912113LSep 7 · 16:55K. Kapik1.911112113M. Rutkowski1.8081070
Upcoming Matches
K. Glazowski
M. Rutkowski2 of 10 neutral
Sep 8 · 19:15M. Rutkowski1.73K. Kapik2.00—Sep 8 · 20:05M. Rutkowski1.36L. Pietraszko3.00—Sep 8 · 21:00M. Rutkowski1.61K. Kostyk2.20—Sep 8 · 22:55M. Rutkowski1.36L. Pietraszko3.00—Sep 8 · 23:45M. Rutkowski1.83K. Staszczyk1.83—Sep 9 · 24:10M. Rutkowski1.73K. Kapik2.00—Sep 9 · 21:25M. Rutkowski—M. Olbrycht——Sep 9 · 21:50M. Rutkowski—K. Staszczyk——Sep 9 · 23:20M. Rutkowski—K. Kapik——Sep 10 · 24:10M. Rutkowski—J. Chmielowski——
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