TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13091628
Played Sep 7Finished
Kacper Glazowski
Home
1.29
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116911115114––
Kamil Kostyk
Away
3.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:38 and never touched — 57.5% is still 57.5%
Graded at full timeKacper Glazowski to win
57.5%
57.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKacper Glazowski above · Kamil Kostyk below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 8-2
Point 63 set 4, 8-2 — our read held Kacper Glazowski at 57.5%
63 points drawn · the score is 5 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Kacper Glazowski 2–1 Kamil Kostyk Kamil Kostyk has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:38What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Glazowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Glazowski 1739 vs Kostyk 1483
Glazowski
Correct
both rated, 255 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Glazowski 40% vs Kostyk 60%
Kostyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Glazowski 50% vs Kostyk 70%
Kostyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Glazowski -1 · Kostyk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Glazowski) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kostyk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGlazowski 1.28 / Kostyk 3.50
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Glazowski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13091628
Glazowski1.28
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 134 of 203
Up 2–0, closes it98% 61 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it82% 112 of 136
Kostyk3.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 45 of 122
Down 0–1, comes back22% 16 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeGlazowski2wins
AwayKostyk1wins
Glazowski leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGlazowski66.7%2 of 3
AwayKostykn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Glazowski3Kostyk0n = 3Glazowski took 3 of 3
S2Glazowski2Kostyk1n = 3Glazowski took 2 of 3
S3Glazowski0Kostyk3n = 3Kostyk took 3 of 3
S4Glazowski2Kostyk1n = 3Glazowski took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricGlazowskiKostykG − KBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match38.035.7+2.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGlazowskiKostykBasisWin rate · lifetime490 / 1001 vs 217 / 42049%51.7%490 / 1001 vs 217 / 420Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GlazowskiGlazowski 1.28/Kostyk 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.9%
Glazowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Glazowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WApr 7 · 14:00K. Glazowski—11117113K. Kostyk—951191
LApr 7 · 08:45K. Glazowski—1161051K. Kostyk—81112113
WDec 21 · 11:00K. Glazowski—12118113K. Kostyk—1031171
K. Glazowski10
LSep 7 · 15:45K. Kapik2.2512511113K. Glazowski1.571011661WSep 7 · 14:35K. Strowski1.7471161182K. Glazowski1.94115119113LSep 7 · 13:25K. Glazowski2.406980K. Wloczko1.501111113LSep 7 · 12:10G. Poliniewicz2.1011138113K. Glazowski1.657111181WSep 7 · 10:55K. Wisniewski2.759811101K. Glazowski1.4011118123LSep 7 · 09:20M. Sklensky2.301371110123K. Glazowski1.531111712102LSep 1 · 20:05K. Glazowski2.20118881M. Sklensky1.6121111113WSep 1 · 18:30K. Strowski2.00781181K. Glazowski1.7311117113WSep 1 · 17:40A. Spychala2.209980K. Glazowski1.611111113WSep 1 · 16:55K. Glazowski1.441311118113M. Olbrycht2.6315891142
K. Kostyk10
LSep 7 · 17:20K. Strowski1.221111811113K. Kostyk4.0049111332WSep 7 · 15:00K. Staszczyk1.6154110K. Kostyk2.201111133WAug 16 · 23:20B. Mleczko1.85112651K. Kostyk1.8591111113LAug 16 · 22:35D. Solilo2.85131198113K. Kostyk1.36119111192LAug 16 · 22:15K. Kostyk1.678811121A. Lilien2.0311118143WAug 16 · 21:05D. Kotwica2.4011155732K. Kostyk1.518131111113LAug 16 · 20:30K. Kostyk1.6614117992B. Mleczko2.051271111113WAug 16 · 18:55K. Kostyk1.301011158153J. Michalczyk3.251221311132WAug 16 · 17:45K. Kostyk1.5711117113A. Lilien2.20681191WAug 16 · 16:15K. Kostyk2.001111113D. Solilo1.716780
Upcoming Matches
K. Glazowski2 of 10 neutral
Sep 7 · 18:05K. Glazowski1.83M. Rutkowski1.83—Sep 7 · 18:50K. Glazowski1.50K. Staszczyk2.50—Sep 7 · 19:40K. Glazowski1.80K. Strowski1.91—Sep 8 · 09:00K. Glazowski—K. Wisniewski——Sep 8 · 10:05K. Glazowski—G. Poliniewicz——Sep 8 · 11:45K. Glazowski—J. Kuzmicz——Sep 8 · 13:00K. Glazowski—M. Sklensky——Sep 8 · 14:35K. Glazowski—A. Daniel——Sep 8 · 15:45K. Glazowski—L. Pietraszko——Sep 8 · 16:30K. Glazowski—M. Rutkowski——
K. Kostyk3 of 10 neutral
Sep 7 · 19:15K. Kostyk2.75M. Rutkowski1.40—Sep 7 · 20:05K. Kostyk2.25K. Kapik1.57—Sep 7 · 21:00K. Kostyk2.20K. Staszczyk1.61—Sep 7 · 22:55K. Kostyk2.25K. Kapik1.57—Sep 7 · 23:45K. Kostyk1.44B. Sulkowski2.63—Sep 8 · 24:10K. Kostyk2.75M. Rutkowski1.40—Sep 8 · 15:00K. Kostyk—M. Rutkowski——Sep 8 · 16:05K. Kostyk—A. Daniel——Sep 8 · 17:40K. Kostyk—L. Pietraszko——Sep 8 · 18:50K. Kostyk—K. Glazowski——
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