TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13053484
Played Sep 1Finished
Kacper Glazowski
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1315118119811114
Michal Olbrycht
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:00 and never touched — 63.1% is still 63.1%
Graded at full timeKacper Glazowski to win
63.1%
63.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKacper Glazowski above · Michal Olbrycht below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 101 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Kacper Glazowski at 63.1%
101 points played in total.
H2H Kacper Glazowski 12–4 Michal Olbrycht Michal Olbrycht has won 4 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:00What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Glazowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-4 in 16
Glazowski
Correct
gap of 8 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Glazowski 1763 vs Olbrycht 1647
Glazowski
Correct
both rated, 115 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Glazowski 40% vs Olbrycht 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Glazowski 30% vs Olbrycht 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Glazowski +1 · Olbrycht -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Glazowski) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Glazowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGlazowski 1.44 / Olbrycht 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Glazowski)+4.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13053484
Glazowski1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite66% won 132 of 201
Up 2–0, closes it98% 61 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it83% 111 of 134
Olbrycht2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 94 of 248
Down 0–1, comes back19% 28 of 148
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGlazowski8wins
AwayOlbrycht2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderGlazowski leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGlazowski100%6 of 6
AwayOlbrycht50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Glazowski6Olbrycht4n = 10Glazowski took 6 of 10
S2Glazowski7Olbrycht3n = 10Glazowski took 7 of 10
S3Glazowski8Olbrycht2n = 10Glazowski took 8 of 10
S4Glazowski5Olbrycht2n = 7Glazowski took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGlazowskiOlbrychtG − OBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.331.0+8.3per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGlazowskiOlbrychtBasisWin rate · lifetime501 / 1029 vs 354 / 75648.7%46.8%501 / 1029 vs 354 / 756Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GlazowskiGlazowski 1.44/Olbrycht 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.8%
Glazowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Glazowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 21 · 10:20K. Glazowski—1110811113M. Olbrycht—41211662
WMay 21 · 05:45K. Glazowski—11712113M. Olbrycht—7111061
LApr 22 · 13:10K. Glazowski—1011681M. Olbrycht—12611113
WApr 22 · 05:00K. Glazowski—61111113M. Olbrycht—117671
LApr 21 · 13:35K. Glazowski—71111872M. Olbrycht—116711113
WApr 21 · 06:35K. Glazowski—11611113M. Olbrycht—511571
WApr 20 · 09:30K. Glazowski—1211123M. Olbrycht—109100
WNov 25 · 02:05K. Glazowski—1111113M. Olbrycht—4580
WNov 24 · 23:40K. Glazowski—1111113M. Olbrycht—4960
WNov 24 · 21:35K. Glazowski—101111113M. Olbrycht—123751
K. Glazowski10
LSep 1 · 20:05K. Glazowski2.20118881M. Sklensky1.6121111113WSep 1 · 18:30K. Strowski2.00781181K. Glazowski1.7311117113WSep 1 · 17:40A. Spychala2.209980K. Glazowski1.611111113WSep 1 · 15:45K. Glazowski1.73118167113L. Jarocki2.00911141162LSep 1 · 14:10K. Kolodziej1.501111117113K. Glazowski2.5013391172LSep 1 · 13:20K. Strowski1.91111311183K. Glazowski1.8013119161LSep 1 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.2013714113K. Glazowski4.3311111291WSep 1 · 10:25K. Petas1.50101110111K. Glazowski2.5012412133LSep 1 · 09:00P. Cyrnek1.281111113K. Glazowski3.509960LAug 31 · 19:40K. Strowski1.8381111143K. Glazowski1.831198121
M. Olbrycht10
WSep 3 · 24:35M. Rutkowski1.83911861M. Olbrycht1.8311711113LSep 2 · 22:55J. Kuzmicz1.3612119113M. Olbrycht3.001091131WSep 2 · 22:10L. Pietraszko2.108330M. Olbrycht1.671111113WSep 2 · 21:25J. Chmielowski2.20118871M. Olbrycht1.6171111113WSep 2 · 20:05M. Olbrycht1.83611116113K. Kapik1.8311981182LSep 2 · 18:30A. Spychala1.73119411113M. Olbrycht2.0031111772LSep 2 · 17:40L. Pietraszko2.001211113M. Olbrycht1.7310660LSep 2 · 16:55M. Olbrycht1.73912111162J. Chmielowski2.00111498113WSep 2 · 15:45M. Olbrycht1.7391211113J. Witkowski2.001110471LSep 2 · 24:10M. Olbrycht2.00128781M. Rutkowski1.73101111113
Upcoming Matches
K. Glazowski1 of 4 neutral
M. Olbrycht
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.