TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13053482
Played Sep 1Finished
Karol Strowski
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711811117811––
Kacper Glazowski
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKacper Glazowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKarol Strowski above · Kacper Glazowski below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 74 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Kacper Glazowski at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Karol Strowski 31–26 Kacper Glazowski Kacper Glazowski has won 26 of their 57 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:58What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Glazowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-26 in 57
Strowski
Wrong
gap of 5 in 57, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strowski 1841 vs Glazowski 1776
Strowski
Wrong
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strowski 80% vs Glazowski 60%
Strowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strowski 60% vs Glazowski 40%
Strowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Strowski +1 · Glazowski +3
Glazowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Glazowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrowski 2.00 / Glazowski 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Glazowski)+0.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13053482
Strowski2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 77 of 191
Down 0–1, comes back25% 29 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 50
Glazowski1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite66% won 132 of 201
Up 2–0, closes it98% 61 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it83% 111 of 134
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrowski4wins
AwayGlazowski6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderGlazowski leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrowskin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayGlazowski50%4 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strowski2Glazowski8n = 10Glazowski took 8 of 10
S2Strowski5Glazowski5n = 10split evenly
S3Strowski4Glazowski6n = 10Glazowski took 6 of 10
S4Strowski6Glazowski3n = 9Strowski took 6 of 9
S5Strowski3Glazowski3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrowskiGlazowskiS − GBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match43.044.8−1.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrowskiGlazowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime833 / 1415 vs 502 / 103058.9%48.7%833 / 1415 vs 502 / 1030Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GlazowskiStrowski 2.00/Glazowski 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Glazowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Glazowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 25 · 17:20K. Strowski—81112123K. Glazowski—11410101
LAug 24 · 18:50K. Strowski—89111372K. Glazowski—1111911113
LAug 24 · 10:05K. Strowski—881171K. Glazowski—11119113
WAug 10 · 18:30K. Strowski—7111811113K. Glazowski—11820572
WJun 16 · 09:00K. Strowski—511711123K. Glazowski—114114102
LMay 26 · 09:30K. Strowski—11970K. Glazowski—1311113
WMay 25 · 14:45K. Strowski—711114113K. Glazowski—11891172
LMay 21 · 09:05K. Strowski—128101172K. Glazowski—1011126113
LMay 5 · 14:45K. Strowski—127101152K. Glazowski—1011129113
LMay 4 · 17:25K. Strowski—1011791K. Glazowski—12911113
K. Strowski10
LSep 1 · 19:40K. Strowski2.0091171152L. Jarocki1.73117119113WSep 1 · 17:20K. Strowski1.611111113M. Sklensky2.208470LSep 1 · 16:05A. Spychala2.20111278113K. Strowski1.61910111162WSep 1 · 15:25K. Strowski1.2811116113M. Olbrycht3.50861181WSep 1 · 14:35P. Cyrnek1.40117811102K. Strowski2.75811115123WSep 1 · 13:20K. Strowski1.91111311183K. Glazowski1.8013119161LSep 1 · 12:05K. Petas1.50119116113K. Strowski2.5091161142WSep 1 · 10:50K. Kolodziej1.91911111172K. Strowski1.80111377113LSep 1 · 09:20J. Kosowski1.3011116113K. Strowski3.40491171WAug 31 · 19:40K. Strowski1.8381111143K. Glazowski1.831198121
K. Glazowski10
LSep 1 · 20:05K. Glazowski2.20118881M. Sklensky1.6121111113WSep 1 · 17:40A. Spychala2.209980K. Glazowski1.611111113WSep 1 · 16:55K. Glazowski1.441311118113M. Olbrycht2.6315891142WSep 1 · 15:45K. Glazowski1.73118167113L. Jarocki2.00911141162LSep 1 · 14:10K. Kolodziej1.501111117113K. Glazowski2.5013391172LSep 1 · 13:20K. Strowski1.91111311183K. Glazowski1.8013119161LSep 1 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.2013714113K. Glazowski4.3311111291WSep 1 · 10:25K. Petas1.50101110111K. Glazowski2.5012412133LSep 1 · 09:00P. Cyrnek1.281111113K. Glazowski3.509960LAug 31 · 19:40K. Strowski1.8381111143K. Glazowski1.831198121
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