Piotr Cyrnek vs Karol Strowski 2-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #13052087

Played Sep 1Finished

Piotr Cyrnek

Home

1.40

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

1187118111151012

Karol Strowski

Away

2.75

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:06 and never touched — 70.7% is still 70.7%

Graded at full time

Piotr Cyrnek to win

70.7%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingPiotr Cyrnek above · Karol Strowski below

Set 1 · 11-8

Set 2 · 7-11

Set 3 · 8-11

Set 4 · 11-5

Set 5 · 10-12

Point 94 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Piotr Cyrnek at 70.7%

94 points played in total.

H2H Piotr Cyrnek 5–1 Karol Strowski Karol Strowski has won 1 of their 6 meetings.

Last 6 · 5–1Same sideHead to head

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 11:06

What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.40 (66%)

Cyrnek

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

5-1 in 6

Cyrnek

Wrong

gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Cyrnek 1930 vs Strowski 1825

Cyrnek

Wrong

both rated, 105 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Cyrnek 60% vs Strowski 60%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Cyrnek 50% vs Strowski 50%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Cyrnek -1 · Strowski +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Cyrnek)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Strowski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsCyrnek 1.40 / Strowski 2.75

Signal prob.71% / 29%

Edge (Cyrnek)+4.4pp

TT Elite Series · #13052087

Cyrnek1.40

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite62% won 100 of 161

Up 2–0, closes it92% 34 of 37

Up 1–0, closes it74% 67 of 90

Strowski2.75

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog40% won 77 of 191

Down 0–1, comes back25% 29 of 116

Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 50

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 6 meetings

HomeCyrnek5wins

AwayStrowski1wins

3 of 6 to a deciderCyrnek leads 5–1, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeCyrnek100%4 of 4

AwayStrowskin = 2, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Cyrnek4Strowski2n = 6Cyrnek took 4 of 6

S2Cyrnek3Strowski3n = 6split evenly

S3Cyrnek3Strowski3n = 6split evenly

S4Cyrnek5Strowski1n = 6Cyrnek took 5 of 6

S5Cyrnek2Strowski1n = 3Cyrnek took 2 of 3

How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home350%

3–2Decider, home233%

2–3Decider, away117%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 6 meetings

MetricCyrnekStrowskiC − SBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match44.237.3+6.9per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricCyrnekStrowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime242 / 425 vs 833 / 141456.9%58.9%242 / 425 vs 833 / 1414Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.638.9per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Cyrnek

Cyrnek 1.40/Strowski 2.75

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

70.7%

Cyrnek · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Strowski won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record6

WJul 25 · 09:20P. Cyrnek—117115113K. Strowski—51191162

LJul 24 · 15:45P. Cyrnek—111171182K. Strowski—139113113

WJun 24 · 14:35P. Cyrnek—11118113K. Strowski—751161

WSep 22 · 11:10P. Cyrnek—1331211113K. Strowski—111114152

WSep 2 · 18:35P. Cyrnek—81111113K. Strowski—113951

WJul 29 · 17:25P. Cyrnek—11711113K. Strowski—811891

P. Cyrnek10

LSep 2 · 13:45P. Cyrnek1.5711711772M. Jadczyk2.25611911113 WSep 2 · 12:30P. Cyrnek1.8315911113M. Olejnik1.831311961 LSep 2 · 11:15P. Cyrnek1.50715118132K. Wloczko2.501113811153 WSep 2 · 10:00P. David1.5011119972P. Cyrnek2.50861111113 WSep 2 · 09:20P. Cyrnek1.4411511113K. Kolodziej2.63711781 WSep 2 · 08:30P. Cyrnek1.8311211113M. Olejnik1.83211671 LSep 2 · 06:55P. Cyrnek1.5071111692M. Jadczyk2.50114611113 LSep 2 · 05:40P. Cyrnek1.309880D. Prokopcov3.401111113 WSep 2 · 04:10P. Cyrnek2.201116143P. David1.61914120 WSep 2 · 03:00P. Cyrnek1.4411812113K. Wloczko2.639111061

K. Strowski10

WSep 7 · 19:40K. Strowski1.911251012113K. Glazowski1.801011121082 LSep 7 · 18:30K. Strowski1.5781111662K. Kapik2.25118911113 WSep 7 · 17:20K. Strowski1.221111811113K. Kostyk4.0049111332 WSep 7 · 16:05K. Staszczyk3.50561131K. Strowski1.2811114113 WSep 7 · 15:25K. Strowski1.6111111113M. Rutkowski2.20911341 LSep 7 · 14:35K. Strowski1.7471161182K. Glazowski1.94115119113 WSep 7 · 13:00K. Strowski1.6011115113G. Poliniewicz2.15971171 WSep 7 · 11:45K. Strowski1.471113123K. Wisniewski2.45911100 WSep 7 · 10:05K. Strowski1.43119116123M. Sklensky2.60911511102 LSep 7 · 09:00K. Strowski2.5091312101K. Wloczko1.44111510123

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