TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13058591
Played Sep 2Finished
Petr David
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118116911911711
Piotr Cyrnek
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:33 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timePetr David to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPetr David above · Piotr Cyrnek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 94 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Petr David at 58.1%
94 points played in total.
H2H Petr David 13–12 Piotr Cyrnek Piotr Cyrnek has won 12 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:33What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
David
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-12 in 25
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
David 1972 vs Cyrnek 1929
David
Wrong
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
David 60% vs Cyrnek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
David 70% vs Cyrnek 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
David +2 · Cyrnek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans David) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cyrnek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDavid 1.50 / Cyrnek 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (David)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13058591
David1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite68% won 237 of 351
Up 2–0, closes it98% 124 of 127
Up 1–0, closes it83% 183 of 220
Cyrnek2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 18 of 41
Down 0–1, comes back30% 6 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back10% 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDavid6wins
AwayCyrnek4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderDavid leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDavid50%2 of 4
AwayCyrnek33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1David4Cyrnek6n = 10Cyrnek took 6 of 10
S2David6Cyrnek4n = 10David took 6 of 10
S3David5Cyrnek5n = 10split evenly
S4David4Cyrnek2n = 6David took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDavidCyrnekD − CBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.334.5+1.8per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDavidCyrnekBasisWin rate · lifetime645 / 984 vs 246 / 43265.6%56.9%645 / 984 vs 246 / 432Avg sets wonper match2.42.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.939.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DavidDavid 1.50/Cyrnek 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
David · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Cyrnek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 04:10P. David—914120P. Cyrnek—1116143
LAug 4 · 11:15P. David—114961P. Cyrnek—91111113
WAug 4 · 04:10P. David—101111113P. Cyrnek—128781
WMay 20 · 11:10P. David—1013411113P. Cyrnek—121111952
WMay 20 · 06:40P. David—91111113P. Cyrnek—114971
WMar 19 · 14:40P. David—1112113P. Cyrnek—61060
LMar 19 · 10:35P. David—710130P. Cyrnek—1112153
LJan 5 · 12:10P. David—116851P. Cyrnek—41111113
WJan 5 · 07:40P. David—41111113P. Cyrnek—119821
WDec 4 · 13:25P. David—1111113P. Cyrnek—8580
P. David10
LSep 7 · 06:30J. Kosowski1.831212113P. David1.83101090WSep 7 · 05:40S. Kolasa2.00613791P. David1.73111111113WSep 7 · 04:55P. David1.081111113G. Poliniewicz7.003690LSep 7 · 03:45P. David1.91117851M. Jadczyk1.8091111113WSep 3 · 13:45P. David1.4413711143D. Michna2.6311113121LSep 3 · 12:30P. David1.571081161A. Wiecek2.2512117113WSep 3 · 11:15P. David1.3011116113K. Kolodziej3.40871151WSep 3 · 10:00A. Dosz2.001110761P. David1.7391211113LSep 3 · 09:20P. David1.367117101S. Dosz3.0011411123LSep 3 · 08:30P. David1.501011861D. Michna2.5012711113
P. Cyrnek10
LSep 2 · 13:45P. Cyrnek1.5711711772M. Jadczyk2.25611911113WSep 2 · 12:30P. Cyrnek1.8315911113M. Olejnik1.831311961LSep 2 · 11:15P. Cyrnek1.50715118132K. Wloczko2.501113811153WSep 2 · 09:20P. Cyrnek1.4411511113K. Kolodziej2.63711781WSep 2 · 08:30P. Cyrnek1.8311211113M. Olejnik1.83211671LSep 2 · 06:55P. Cyrnek1.5071111692M. Jadczyk2.50114611113LSep 2 · 05:40P. Cyrnek1.309880D. Prokopcov3.401111113WSep 2 · 04:10P. Cyrnek2.201116143P. David1.61914120WSep 2 · 03:00P. Cyrnek1.4411812113K. Wloczko2.639111061LSep 1 · 14:35P. Cyrnek1.40117811102K. Strowski2.75811115123
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.