TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13064988
Played Sep 3Finished
Adam Dosz
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1191012711611––
Petr David
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Dosz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAdam Dosz above · Petr David below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 77 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Adam Dosz at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Adam Dosz 8–8 Petr David Dead even across their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:58What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
David
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-8 in 16
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dosz 1916 vs David 1964
David
Correct
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dosz 60% vs David 20%
Dosz
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dosz 60% vs David 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dosz +2 · David -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans David) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- David form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDosz 2.00 / David 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (David)+0.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13064988
Dosz2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog53% won 10 of 19
Down 0–1, comes back17% 1 of 6
David1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 242 of 358
Up 2–0, closes it97% 126 of 130
Up 1–0, closes it83% 186 of 225
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDosz6wins
AwayDavid4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDosz leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDosz50%3 of 6
AwayDavid25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dosz6David4n = 10Dosz took 6 of 10
S2Dosz6David4n = 10Dosz took 6 of 10
S3Dosz3David7n = 10David took 7 of 10
S4Dosz6David3n = 9Dosz took 6 of 9
S5Dosz2David1n = 3Dosz took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDoszDavidDosz − DavidBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.139.8+1.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDoszDavidBasisWin rate · lifetime167 / 289 vs 646 / 98457.8%65.7%167 / 289 vs 646 / 984Avg sets wonper match2.22.4per matchAvg pointsper match39.839.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DavidDosz 2.00/David 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
David · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
David won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 10:00A. Dosz—1110761P. David—91211113
WSep 3 · 04:10A. Dosz—9111011113P. David—11512672
LAug 28 · 10:25A. Dosz—1110561P. David—81211113
WAug 28 · 04:10A. Dosz—11138113P. David—9111191
WAug 23 · 10:00A. Dosz—21115113P. David—1141361
LAug 23 · 04:10A. Dosz—11791182P. David—811117113
WAug 22 · 11:40A. Dosz—1411123P. David—129100
WAug 22 · 04:30A. Dosz—11911113P. David—611871
LMay 4 · 10:25A. Dosz—6116101P. David—11811123
WMay 4 · 08:00A. Dosz—815811113P. David—111311642
A. Dosz10
WSep 4 · 15:25D. Michna2.10136121182A. Dosz1.671111149113LSep 4 · 14:35K. Kolodziej2.751181011113A. Dosz1.4061112752LSep 4 · 12:30A. Wiecek1.91111459113A. Dosz1.80912111172LSep 4 · 11:40M. Jadczyk1.8311912133A. Dosz1.8381110111WSep 4 · 10:00A. Grela2.6351161162A. Dosz1.44116119113LSep 4 · 08:05A. Grela2.00811115113A. Dosz1.7311981192LSep 4 · 07:20D. Michna1.80121111113A. Dosz1.911013771LSep 4 · 05:15S. Dosz2.0081111113A. Dosz1.73118871WSep 4 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.83811871A. Dosz1.8311811113WSep 4 · 03:00A. Wiecek2.00951151A. Dosz1.7311118113
P. David10
LSep 7 · 06:30J. Kosowski1.831212113P. David1.83101090WSep 7 · 05:40S. Kolasa2.00613791P. David1.73111111113WSep 7 · 04:55P. David1.081111113G. Poliniewicz7.003690LSep 7 · 03:45P. David1.91117851M. Jadczyk1.8091111113WSep 3 · 13:45P. David1.4413711143D. Michna2.6311113121LSep 3 · 12:30P. David1.571081161A. Wiecek2.2512117113WSep 3 · 11:15P. David1.3011116113K. Kolodziej3.40871151LSep 3 · 09:20P. David1.367117101S. Dosz3.0011411123LSep 3 · 08:30P. David1.501011861D. Michna2.5012711113WSep 3 · 06:55P. David1.9111812113M. Jadczyk1.808111051
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