TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13070626
Played Sep 4Finished
Slawomir Dosz
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811118118117––
Adam Dosz
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:39 and never touched — 61.3% is still 61.3%
Graded at full timeAdam Dosz to win
61.3%
61.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingSlawomir Dosz above · Adam Dosz below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 75 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Adam Dosz at 61.3%
75 points played in total.
H2H Slawomir Dosz 16–13 Adam Dosz Adam Dosz has won 13 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:39What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Dosz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-13 in 29
Dosz
Correct
gap of 3 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dosz 1966 vs Dosz 1978
Dosz
Wrong
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dosz 60% vs Dosz 100%
Dosz
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dosz 70% vs Dosz 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dosz -1 · Dosz +5
Dosz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dosz) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dosz form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDosz 2.00 / Dosz 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dosz)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13070626
Dosz2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog49% won 16 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back24% 4 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back14% 1 of 7
Dosz1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite66% won 74 of 112
Up 2–0, closes it100% 34 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it90% 47 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDosz6wins
AwayDosz4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDosz leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDosz66.7%4 of 6
AwayDosz50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dosz6Dosz4n = 10Dosz took 6 of 10
S2Dosz6Dosz4n = 10Dosz took 6 of 10
S3Dosz4Dosz6n = 10Dosz took 6 of 10
S4Dosz4Dosz4n = 8split evenly
S5Dosz3Dosz1n = 4Dosz took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDoszDoszDosz − DoszBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.940.5+1.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDoszDoszBasisWin rate · lifetime58 / 127 vs 172 / 29445.7%58.5%58 / 127 vs 172 / 294Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.239.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DoszDosz 2.00/Dosz 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Dosz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Dosz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 14:35S. Dosz—811691A. Dosz—11911113
WSep 3 · 06:30S. Dosz—118911113A. Dosz—81111992
WAug 29 · 13:45S. Dosz—1111113A. Dosz—5970
WAug 29 · 08:30S. Dosz—1214113A. Dosz—101280
WAug 28 · 05:15S. Dosz—11811113A. Dosz—611981
LAug 23 · 14:35S. Dosz—11117882A. Dosz—591111113
LAug 23 · 06:30S. Dosz—1081191A. Dosz—12119113
LAug 22 · 12:30S. Dosz—1158121A. Dosz—91111143
WAug 22 · 03:00S. Dosz—912911123A. Dosz—1110116102
WOct 5 · 04:20S. Dosz—8111111113A. Dosz—11713792
S. Dosz10
LSep 4 · 14:35A. Daniel3.0011611113S. Dosz1.33411681WSep 4 · 13:25S. Dosz1.221211123K. Wisniewski4.00106100WSep 4 · 12:10G. Poliniewicz2.357660S. Dosz1.531111113LSep 4 · 10:55K. Wloczko1.951111113S. Dosz1.758960LSep 4 · 09:20J. Zochniak2.80111177113S. Dosz1.3786111192LSep 4 · 07:45S. Dosz2.38891161M. Jadczyk1.5311116113LSep 4 · 06:30S. Dosz2.204711101A. Grela1.6111116123LSep 4 · 04:10A. Wiecek1.40111011113S. Dosz2.75712591WSep 4 · 03:25S. Dosz2.2511311113D. Michna1.57911491LSep 3 · 14:35A. Dosz1.5711911113S. Dosz2.25811691
A. Dosz10
WSep 4 · 15:25D. Michna2.10136121182A. Dosz1.671111149113LSep 4 · 14:35K. Kolodziej2.751181011113A. Dosz1.4061112752LSep 4 · 12:30A. Wiecek1.91111459113A. Dosz1.80912111172LSep 4 · 11:40M. Jadczyk1.8311912133A. Dosz1.8381110111WSep 4 · 10:00A. Grela2.6351161162A. Dosz1.44116119113LSep 4 · 08:05A. Grela2.00811115113A. Dosz1.7311981192LSep 4 · 07:20D. Michna1.80121111113A. Dosz1.911013771WSep 4 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.83811871A. Dosz1.8311811113WSep 4 · 03:00A. Wiecek2.00951151A. Dosz1.7311118113WSep 3 · 14:35A. Dosz1.5711911113S. Dosz2.25811691
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