TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13070616
Played Sep 4Finished
Slawomir Dosz
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
4117111161012––
Artur Grela
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeArtur Grela to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSlawomir Dosz above · Artur Grela below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 72 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Artur Grela at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Slawomir Dosz 7–10 Artur Grela Slawomir Dosz has won 7 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:39What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Grela
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-10 in 17
Grela
Correct
gap of 3 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dosz 1900 vs Grela 1880
Dosz
Wrong
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dosz 60% vs Grela 80%
Grela
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dosz 70% vs Grela 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dosz +1 · Grela +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Grela) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grela form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDosz 2.20 / Grela 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Grela)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13070616
Dosz2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 17 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back24% 5 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back11% 1 of 9
Grela1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 166 of 256
Up 2–0, closes it95% 56 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it75% 110 of 147
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDosz4wins
AwayGrela6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderGrela leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDosz60%3 of 5
AwayGrela80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dosz5Grela5n = 10split evenly
S2Dosz2Grela8n = 10Grela took 8 of 10
S3Dosz6Grela4n = 10Dosz took 6 of 10
S4Dosz3Grela6n = 9Grela took 6 of 9
S5Dosz3Grela2n = 5Dosz took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDoszGrelaD − GBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.941.8−1.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDoszGrelaBasisWin rate · lifetime61 / 135 vs 629 / 124745.2%50.4%61 / 135 vs 629 / 1247Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.038.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrelaDosz 2.20/Grela 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Grela · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Grela won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 06:30S. Dosz—4711101A. Grela—11116123
LAug 15 · 13:40S. Dosz—101280A. Grela—1214113
WJun 3 · 10:25S. Dosz—791111113A. Grela—11114662
LJun 3 · 08:00S. Dosz—71111772A. Grela—115711113
WMay 7 · 12:00S. Dosz—119115123A. Grela—611811102
WMay 7 · 06:15S. Dosz—1111810123A. Grela—691112102
LMay 6 · 14:30S. Dosz—118791A. Grela—31111113
LMay 6 · 05:25S. Dosz—49111142A. Grela—111199113
WMay 5 · 13:15S. Dosz—11411113A. Grela—911891
LMay 5 · 07:15S. Dosz—118961A. Grela—71111113
S. Dosz10
LSep 4 · 14:35A. Daniel3.0011611113S. Dosz1.33411681WSep 4 · 13:25S. Dosz1.221211123K. Wisniewski4.00106100WSep 4 · 12:10G. Poliniewicz2.357660S. Dosz1.531111113LSep 4 · 10:55K. Wloczko1.951111113S. Dosz1.758960LSep 4 · 09:20J. Zochniak2.80111177113S. Dosz1.3786111192LSep 4 · 07:45S. Dosz2.38891161M. Jadczyk1.5311116113WSep 4 · 05:15S. Dosz2.0081111113A. Dosz1.73118871LSep 4 · 04:10A. Wiecek1.40111011113S. Dosz2.75712591WSep 4 · 03:25S. Dosz2.2511311113D. Michna1.57911491LSep 3 · 14:35A. Dosz1.5711911113S. Dosz2.25811691
A. Grela10
LSep 5 · 13:45A. Grela1.8391111492S. Kolasa1.83117811113LSep 5 · 12:30A. Grela1.5314381142M. Nowalinski2.381211114113WSep 5 · 11:15A. Grela1.33811711113G. Adamiak3.2511611732WSep 5 · 10:00M. Domin3.251111471A. Grela1.3313711113WSep 5 · 09:20A. Grela1.3011712113S. Sporek3.407111071LSep 5 · 08:30A. Grela1.8081141182S. Kolasa1.91117116113LSep 5 · 06:55A. Grela1.3011611982M. Domin3.40911611113WSep 5 · 05:40A. Grela1.3081111123S. Sporek3.401167101WSep 5 · 04:10A. Grela1.3311117113G. Adamiak3.25641151WSep 5 · 03:00A. Grela1.4011511123M. Nowalinski2.759115101
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