TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13070631
Played Sep 4Finished
Slawomir Dosz
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119311114119––
Dawid Michna
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:39 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeDawid Michna to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingSlawomir Dosz above · Dawid Michna below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 69 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Dawid Michna at 59.7%
69 points played in total.
H2H Slawomir Dosz 4–6 Dawid Michna Slawomir Dosz has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:39What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Michna
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-6 in 10
Michna
Wrong
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dosz 1981 vs Michna 1930
Dosz
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dosz 80% vs Michna 20%
Dosz
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dosz 70% vs Michna 30%
Dosz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dosz -1 · Michna -4
Michna
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Michna)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Michna form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDosz 2.25 / Michna 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Michna)+1.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13070631
Dosz2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 10 of 25
Down 0–1, comes back27% 4 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back14% 1 of 7
Michna1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite62% won 83 of 133
Up 2–0, closes it100% 35 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it76% 64 of 84
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDosz4wins
AwayMichna6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMichna leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDosz80%4 of 5
AwayMichna100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dosz5Michna5n = 10split evenly
S2Dosz5Michna5n = 10split evenly
S3Dosz3Michna7n = 10Michna took 7 of 10
S4Dosz4Michna4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDoszMichnaD − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.637.3−3.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDoszMichnaBasisWin rate · lifetime58 / 126 vs 531 / 97946%54.2%58 / 126 vs 531 / 979Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.239.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MichnaDosz 2.25/Michna 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.9%
Michna · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Dosz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 03:25S. Dosz—11311113D. Michna—911491
WSep 3 · 12:05S. Dosz—11116113D. Michna—831161
LSep 3 · 04:55S. Dosz—71211992D. Michna—1110911113
LApr 1 · 13:15S. Dosz—811591D. Michna—11511113
LApr 1 · 05:50S. Dosz—7440D. Michna—1111113
WFeb 10 · 12:55S. Dosz—11812113D. Michna—6111071
WFeb 9 · 19:20S. Dosz—11124133D. Michna—81011111
LFeb 9 · 13:50S. Dosz—117881D. Michna—91111113
LJan 13 · 14:35S. Dosz—7670D. Michna—1111113
LJan 13 · 08:55S. Dosz—911541D. Michna—11711113
S. Dosz10
LSep 4 · 14:35A. Daniel3.0011611113S. Dosz1.33411681WSep 4 · 13:25S. Dosz1.221211123K. Wisniewski4.00106100WSep 4 · 12:10G. Poliniewicz2.357660S. Dosz1.531111113LSep 4 · 10:55K. Wloczko1.951111113S. Dosz1.758960LSep 4 · 09:20J. Zochniak2.80111177113S. Dosz1.3786111192LSep 4 · 07:45S. Dosz2.38891161M. Jadczyk1.5311116113LSep 4 · 06:30S. Dosz2.204711101A. Grela1.6111116123WSep 4 · 05:15S. Dosz2.0081111113A. Dosz1.73118871LSep 4 · 04:10A. Wiecek1.40111011113S. Dosz2.75712591LSep 3 · 14:35A. Dosz1.5711911113S. Dosz2.25811691
D. Michna10
LSep 4 · 15:25D. Michna2.10136121182A. Dosz1.671111149113LSep 4 · 13:45A. Wiecek1.4411119113D. Michna2.63891191WSep 4 · 12:55A. Grela1.6112611642D. Michna2.201011911113WSep 4 · 12:05D. Michna1.671111113K. Kolodziej2.109480LSep 4 · 10:50D. Michna1.836880M. Jadczyk1.831111113WSep 4 · 08:30A. Wiecek1.539111181D. Michna2.3811713113WSep 4 · 07:20D. Michna1.80121111113A. Dosz1.911013771LSep 4 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.831112115123D. Michna1.83914911102WSep 4 · 04:55A. Grela1.738770D. Michna2.001111113LSep 3 · 13:45P. David1.4413711143D. Michna2.6311113121
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