Adam Dosz vs Slawomir Dosz 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #13065171

Played Sep 3Finished

Adam Dosz

Home

1.57

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 2

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

118911116119––

Slawomir Dosz

Away

2.25

At publish

Won last 4

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 4

The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:31 and never touched — 64.9% is still 64.9%

Graded at full time

Adam Dosz to win

64.9%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

no pick shipped

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingAdam Dosz above · Slawomir Dosz below

Set 1 · 11-8

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 11-6

Set 4 · 11-9

Point 76 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Adam Dosz at 64.9%

76 points played in total.

H2H Adam Dosz 13–16 Slawomir Dosz Adam Dosz has won 13 of their 29 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6Same sideHead to head

The pickNo pick published

Sealed 13:31

What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.57 (59%)

Dosz

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

13-16 in 29

Dosz

Wrong

gap of 3 in 29, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Dosz 1959 vs Dosz 1970

Dosz

Wrong

both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Dosz 80% vs Dosz 80%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Dosz 60% vs Dosz 80%

Dosz

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Dosz +2 · Dosz +4

Dosz

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Dosz) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Dosz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsDosz 1.57 / Dosz 2.25

Signal prob.59% / 41%

Edge (Dosz)+0.4pp

TT Elite Series · #13065171

Dosz1.57

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite65% won 68 of 104

Up 2–0, closes it100% 30 of 30

Up 1–0, closes it89% 42 of 47

Dosz2.25

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Won last 4

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog40% won 10 of 25

Down 0–1, comes back27% 4 of 15

Down 0–2, comes back14% 1 of 7

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeDosz4wins

AwayDosz6wins

4 of 10 to a deciderDosz leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeDosz50%2 of 4

AwayDosz66.7%4 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Dosz4Dosz6n = 10Dosz took 6 of 10

S2Dosz4Dosz6n = 10Dosz took 6 of 10

S3Dosz6Dosz4n = 10Dosz took 6 of 10

S4Dosz4Dosz4n = 8split evenly

S5Dosz1Dosz3n = 4Dosz took 3 of 4

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricDoszDoszDosz − DoszBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.541.9−1.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricDoszDoszBasisWin rate · lifetime170 / 292 vs 57 / 12558.2%45.6%170 / 292 vs 57 / 125Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.836.2per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Dosz

Dosz 1.57/Dosz 2.25

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

59.3%

Dosz · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Dosz won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 3 · 14:35A. Dosz—11911113S. Dosz—811691

LSep 3 · 06:30A. Dosz—81111992S. Dosz—118911113

LAug 29 · 13:45A. Dosz—5970S. Dosz—1111113

LAug 29 · 08:30A. Dosz—101280S. Dosz—1214113

LAug 28 · 05:15A. Dosz—611981S. Dosz—11811113

WAug 23 · 14:35A. Dosz—591111113S. Dosz—11117882

WAug 23 · 06:30A. Dosz—12119113S. Dosz—1081191

WAug 22 · 12:30A. Dosz—91111143S. Dosz—1158121

LAug 22 · 03:00A. Dosz—1110116102S. Dosz—912911123

LOct 5 · 04:20A. Dosz—11713792S. Dosz—8111111113

A. Dosz10

WSep 4 · 15:25D. Michna2.10136121182A. Dosz1.671111149113 LSep 4 · 14:35K. Kolodziej2.751181011113A. Dosz1.4061112752 LSep 4 · 12:30A. Wiecek1.91111459113A. Dosz1.80912111172 LSep 4 · 11:40M. Jadczyk1.8311912133A. Dosz1.8381110111 WSep 4 · 10:00A. Grela2.6351161162A. Dosz1.44116119113 LSep 4 · 08:05A. Grela2.00811115113A. Dosz1.7311981192 LSep 4 · 07:20D. Michna1.80121111113A. Dosz1.911013771 LSep 4 · 05:15S. Dosz2.0081111113A. Dosz1.73118871 WSep 4 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.83811871A. Dosz1.8311811113 WSep 4 · 03:00A. Wiecek2.00951151A. Dosz1.7311118113

S. Dosz10

LSep 4 · 14:35A. Daniel3.0011611113S. Dosz1.33411681 WSep 4 · 13:25S. Dosz1.221211123K. Wisniewski4.00106100 WSep 4 · 12:10G. Poliniewicz2.357660S. Dosz1.531111113 LSep 4 · 10:55K. Wloczko1.951111113S. Dosz1.758960 LSep 4 · 09:20J. Zochniak2.80111177113S. Dosz1.3786111192 LSep 4 · 07:45S. Dosz2.38891161M. Jadczyk1.5311116113 LSep 4 · 06:30S. Dosz2.204711101A. Grela1.6111116123 WSep 4 · 05:15S. Dosz2.0081111113A. Dosz1.73118871 LSep 4 · 04:10A. Wiecek1.40111011113S. Dosz2.75712591 WSep 4 · 03:25S. Dosz2.2511311113D. Michna1.57911491

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