TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13070555
Played Sep 4Finished
Slawomir Dosz
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811911116611––
Marcin Jadczyk
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:28 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeMarcin Jadczyk to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSlawomir Dosz above · Marcin Jadczyk below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 73 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Marcin Jadczyk at 54.5%
73 points played in total.
H2H Slawomir Dosz 17–15 Marcin Jadczyk Marcin Jadczyk has won 15 of their 32 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:28What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Jadczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-15 in 32
Dosz
Wrong
gap of 2 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dosz 1954 vs Jadczyk 1879
Dosz
Wrong
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dosz 40% vs Jadczyk 20%
Dosz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dosz 60% vs Jadczyk 40%
Dosz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dosz -1 · Jadczyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Jadczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jadczyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDosz 2.38 / Jadczyk 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Jadczyk)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13070555
Dosz2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 16 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back24% 4 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back14% 1 of 7
Jadczyk1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 444 of 695
Up 2–0, closes it98% 224 of 229
Up 1–0, closes it83% 349 of 420
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDosz5wins
AwayJadczyk5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDosz80%4 of 5
AwayJadczyk80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dosz5Jadczyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Dosz3Jadczyk7n = 10Jadczyk took 7 of 10
S3Dosz5Jadczyk5n = 10split evenly
S4Dosz4Jadczyk3n = 7Dosz took 4 of 7
S5Dosz2Jadczyk1n = 3Dosz took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDoszJadczykD − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.137.9−0.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDoszJadczykBasisWin rate · lifetime59 / 129 vs 980 / 167445.7%58.5%59 / 129 vs 980 / 1674Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadczykDosz 2.38/Jadczyk 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Jadczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jadczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 23 · 03:45S. Dosz—411211113M. Jadczyk—11911682
LOct 5 · 12:00S. Dosz—7860M. Jadczyk—1111113
WOct 5 · 05:50S. Dosz—11711113M. Jadczyk—811681
LOct 4 · 10:45S. Dosz—1171112142M. Jadczyk—1311610163
LOct 4 · 07:15S. Dosz—117761M. Jadczyk—81111113
WSep 14 · 12:00S. Dosz—1111118113M. Jadczyk—61381172
WSep 14 · 08:50S. Dosz—11119113M. Jadczyk—861161
LSep 13 · 13:15S. Dosz—881171M. Jadczyk—11117113
LSep 13 · 08:50S. Dosz—9780M. Jadczyk—1111113
WSep 12 · 10:45S. Dosz—1111113M. Jadczyk—8860
S. Dosz10
LSep 4 · 14:35A. Daniel3.0011611113S. Dosz1.33411681WSep 4 · 13:25S. Dosz1.221211123K. Wisniewski4.00106100WSep 4 · 12:10G. Poliniewicz2.357660S. Dosz1.531111113LSep 4 · 10:55K. Wloczko1.951111113S. Dosz1.758960LSep 4 · 09:20J. Zochniak2.80111177113S. Dosz1.3786111192LSep 4 · 06:30S. Dosz2.204711101A. Grela1.6111116123WSep 4 · 05:15S. Dosz2.0081111113A. Dosz1.73118871LSep 4 · 04:10A. Wiecek1.40111011113S. Dosz2.75712591WSep 4 · 03:25S. Dosz2.2511311113D. Michna1.57911491LSep 3 · 14:35A. Dosz1.5711911113S. Dosz2.25811691
M. Jadczyk10
LSep 7 · 07:45J. Kosowski1.8181111113M. Jadczyk1.86117871LSep 7 · 06:55S. Kolasa2.00131111113M. Jadczyk1.73156591WSep 7 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.141111510113G. Poliniewicz5.0079111282WSep 7 · 03:45P. David1.91117851M. Jadczyk1.8091111113WSep 4 · 15:00A. Wiecek2.38811581M. Jadczyk1.5311511113LSep 4 · 14:10A. Grela2.10129147113M. Jadczyk1.671011121182LSep 4 · 13:20M. Jadczyk1.44591191K. Kolodziej2.6311118113WSep 4 · 11:40M. Jadczyk1.8311912133A. Dosz1.8381110111WSep 4 · 10:50D. Michna1.836880M. Jadczyk1.831111113LSep 4 · 06:55A. Wiecek1.9111511113M. Jadczyk1.80911581
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