TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13070572
Played Sep 4Finished
Artur Grela
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
12109111412711118
Marcin Jadczyk
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:38 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeMarcin Jadczyk to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingArtur Grela above · Marcin Jadczyk below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 105 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Marcin Jadczyk at 54.1%
105 points played in total.
H2H Artur Grela 46–41 Marcin Jadczyk Marcin Jadczyk has won 41 of their 87 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:38What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Jadczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
46-41 in 87
Grela
Correct
gap of 5 in 87, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Grela 1921 vs Jadczyk 1899
Grela
Correct
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grela 40% vs Jadczyk 60%
Jadczyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grela 60% vs Jadczyk 40%
Grela
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Grela -3 · Jadczyk -1
Grela
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Jadczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrela 2.10 / Jadczyk 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Jadczyk)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13070572
Grela2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog47% won 137 of 291
Down 0–1, comes back30% 47 of 158
Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 63
Jadczyk1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 444 of 695
Up 2–0, closes it98% 224 of 229
Up 1–0, closes it83% 349 of 420
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGrela4wins
AwayJadczyk6wins
7 of 10 to a deciderJadczyk leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrela60%3 of 5
AwayJadczyk80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grela5Jadczyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Grela4Jadczyk6n = 10Jadczyk took 6 of 10
S3Grela3Jadczyk7n = 10Jadczyk took 7 of 10
S4Grela7Jadczyk3n = 10Grela took 7 of 10
S5Grela3Jadczyk4n = 7Jadczyk took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGrelaJadczykG − JBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.943.6−1.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrelaJadczykBasisWin rate · lifetime622 / 1235 vs 983 / 167850.4%58.6%622 / 1235 vs 983 / 1678Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadczykGrela 2.10/Jadczyk 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Jadczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Grela won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 21 · 06:55A. Grela—11115932M. Jadczyk—881111113
LAug 20 · 12:05A. Grela—661181M. Jadczyk—11118113
LAug 20 · 07:45A. Grela—911111152M. Jadczyk—118138113
LAug 15 · 09:40A. Grela—31191162M. Jadczyk—119116113
WAug 14 · 13:20A. Grela—9101111113M. Jadczyk—11126882
WAug 14 · 07:45A. Grela—11711113M. Jadczyk—611951
LAug 6 · 13:45A. Grela—12771162M. Jadczyk—1011115113
WAug 5 · 12:55A. Grela—117511113M. Jadczyk—81111652
LAug 1 · 04:30A. Grela—711971M. Jadczyk—11911113
WJul 31 · 06:05A. Grela—116911113M. Jadczyk—61111482
A. Grela10
LSep 5 · 13:45A. Grela1.8391111492S. Kolasa1.83117811113LSep 5 · 12:30A. Grela1.5314381142M. Nowalinski2.381211114113WSep 5 · 11:15A. Grela1.33811711113G. Adamiak3.2511611732WSep 5 · 10:00M. Domin3.251111471A. Grela1.3313711113WSep 5 · 09:20A. Grela1.3011712113S. Sporek3.407111071LSep 5 · 08:30A. Grela1.8081141182S. Kolasa1.91117116113LSep 5 · 06:55A. Grela1.3011611982M. Domin3.40911611113WSep 5 · 05:40A. Grela1.3081111123S. Sporek3.401167101WSep 5 · 04:10A. Grela1.3311117113G. Adamiak3.25641151WSep 5 · 03:00A. Grela1.4011511123M. Nowalinski2.759115101
M. Jadczyk10
LSep 7 · 07:45J. Kosowski1.8181111113M. Jadczyk1.86117871LSep 7 · 06:55S. Kolasa2.00131111113M. Jadczyk1.73156591WSep 7 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.141111510113G. Poliniewicz5.0079111282WSep 7 · 03:45P. David1.91117851M. Jadczyk1.8091111113WSep 4 · 15:00A. Wiecek2.38811581M. Jadczyk1.5311511113LSep 4 · 13:20M. Jadczyk1.44591191K. Kolodziej2.6311118113WSep 4 · 11:40M. Jadczyk1.8311912133A. Dosz1.8381110111WSep 4 · 10:50D. Michna1.836880M. Jadczyk1.831111113WSep 4 · 07:45S. Dosz2.38891161M. Jadczyk1.5311116113LSep 4 · 06:55A. Wiecek1.9111511113M. Jadczyk1.80911581
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