TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13087213
Played Sep 7Finished
Szymon Kolasa
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1315116115119––
Marcin Jadczyk
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:59 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeMarcin Jadczyk to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingSzymon Kolasa above · Marcin Jadczyk below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 81 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Marcin Jadczyk at 54.1%
81 points played in total.
H2H Szymon Kolasa 17–26 Marcin Jadczyk Szymon Kolasa has won 17 of their 43 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:59What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Jadczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-26 in 43
Jadczyk
Wrong
gap of 9 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolasa 1901 vs Jadczyk 1875
Kolasa
Correct
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolasa 40% vs Jadczyk 60%
Jadczyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolasa 60% vs Jadczyk 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolasa -2 · Jadczyk +3
Jadczyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Jadczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolasa 2.00 / Jadczyk 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Jadczyk)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13087213
Kolasa2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 65 of 142
Down 0–1, comes back35% 30 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back15% 6 of 40
Jadczyk1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 438 of 686
Up 2–0, closes it98% 220 of 224
Up 1–0, closes it84% 344 of 412
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolasa5wins
AwayJadczyk5wins
7 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolasa80%4 of 5
AwayJadczyk80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolasa5Jadczyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Kolasa5Jadczyk5n = 10split evenly
S3Kolasa3Jadczyk7n = 10Jadczyk took 7 of 10
S4Kolasa8Jadczyk2n = 10Kolasa took 8 of 10
S5Kolasa3Jadczyk4n = 7Jadczyk took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolasaJadczykK − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match44.942.9+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolasaJadczykBasisWin rate · lifetime290 / 528 vs 981 / 167554.9%58.6%290 / 528 vs 981 / 1675Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadczykKolasa 2.00/Jadczyk 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.9%
Jadczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kolasa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 06:55S. Kolasa—131111113M. Jadczyk—156591
LAug 26 · 12:05S. Kolasa—119101162M. Jadczyk—711127113
WAug 26 · 07:45S. Kolasa—118411113M. Jadczyk—61111592
WAug 12 · 04:30S. Kolasa—1171112113M. Jadczyk—51171482
WAug 4 · 04:30S. Kolasa—11116113M. Jadczyk—881191
LAug 3 · 13:45S. Kolasa—511671M. Jadczyk—11411113
LAug 3 · 06:55S. Kolasa—91181162M. Jadczyk—117117113
LJul 31 · 07:45S. Kolasa—911101182M. Jadczyk—119129113
WJul 30 · 12:55S. Kolasa—118911113M. Jadczyk—61111852
LJul 15 · 04:30S. Kolasa—710111182M. Jadczyk—111266113
S. Kolasa10
LSep 7 · 05:40S. Kolasa2.00613791P. David1.73111111113LSep 7 · 04:10S. Kolasa2.386270J. Kosowski1.531111113WSep 6 · 14:35S. Kolasa1.7311811113J. Braun2.00711751WSep 6 · 12:55S. Kolasa1.6111811113M. Nowalinski2.20811761LSep 6 · 11:40S. Kolasa1.40121211592S. Sporek2.751014611113WSep 6 · 10:00S. Kolasa1.4461111113G. Adamiak2.63117621WSep 6 · 09:00S. Kolasa1.44121169113M. Domin2.63106111162WSep 6 · 07:45M. Domin2.63710100S. Kolasa1.441112123WSep 6 · 06:55S. Sporek2.7591190S. Kolasa1.401113113LSep 6 · 06:05S. Kolasa1.73101151182M. Nowalinski2.00126118113
M. Jadczyk10
LSep 7 · 07:45J. Kosowski1.8181111113M. Jadczyk1.86117871WSep 7 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.141111510113G. Poliniewicz5.0079111282WSep 7 · 03:45P. David1.91117851M. Jadczyk1.8091111113WSep 4 · 15:00A. Wiecek2.38811581M. Jadczyk1.5311511113LSep 4 · 14:10A. Grela2.10129147113M. Jadczyk1.671011121182LSep 4 · 13:20M. Jadczyk1.44591191K. Kolodziej2.6311118113WSep 4 · 11:40M. Jadczyk1.8311912133A. Dosz1.8381110111WSep 4 · 10:50D. Michna1.836880M. Jadczyk1.831111113WSep 4 · 07:45S. Dosz2.38891161M. Jadczyk1.5311116113LSep 4 · 06:55A. Wiecek1.9111511113M. Jadczyk1.80911581
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