TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13087405
Played Sep 7Finished
Szymon Kolasa
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6111311711911––
Petr David
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:53 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timePetr David to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSzymon Kolasa above · Petr David below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 79 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Petr David at 54.5%
79 points played in total.
H2H Szymon Kolasa 14–11 Petr David Petr David has won 11 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:53What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
David
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-11 in 25
Kolasa
Wrong
gap of 3 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolasa 1899 vs David 1948
David
Correct
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolasa 60% vs David 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolasa 70% vs David 50%
Kolasa
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolasa -1 · David +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans David)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolasa 2.00 / David 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (David)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13087405
Kolasa2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 65 of 142
Down 0–1, comes back35% 30 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back15% 6 of 40
David1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 238 of 356
Up 2–0, closes it97% 124 of 128
Up 1–0, closes it82% 181 of 221
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolasa4wins
AwayDavid6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDavid leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolasan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayDavid62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolasa2David8n = 10David took 8 of 10
S2Kolasa5David5n = 10split evenly
S3Kolasa4David6n = 10David took 6 of 10
S4Kolasa4David5n = 9David took 5 of 9
S5Kolasa3David1n = 4Kolasa took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolasaDavidK − DBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match38.142.2−4.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolasaDavidBasisWin rate · lifetime289 / 526 vs 648 / 98554.9%65.8%289 / 526 vs 648 / 985Avg sets wonper match2.12.4per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DavidKolasa 2.00/David 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
David · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
David won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 12:55S. Kolasa—1212881P. David—141011113
LAug 27 · 04:55S. Kolasa—118431P. David—61111113
LAug 4 · 14:10S. Kolasa—711621P. David—11711113
WAug 4 · 05:15S. Kolasa—7111011113P. David—11912762
WApr 10 · 04:05S. Kolasa—71411113P. David—1112381
LApr 9 · 15:35S. Kolasa—7101191P. David—11128113
LApr 9 · 07:40S. Kolasa—75111392P. David—1111911113
WFeb 11 · 15:30S. Kolasa—781111113P. David—11117662
LFeb 11 · 09:50S. Kolasa—4840P. David—1111113
WJan 18 · 12:10S. Kolasa—1311123113P. David—118141152
S. Kolasa10
LSep 7 · 04:10S. Kolasa2.386270J. Kosowski1.531111113WSep 6 · 14:35S. Kolasa1.7311811113J. Braun2.00711751WSep 6 · 12:55S. Kolasa1.6111811113M. Nowalinski2.20811761LSep 6 · 11:40S. Kolasa1.40121211592S. Sporek2.751014611113WSep 6 · 10:00S. Kolasa1.4461111113G. Adamiak2.63117621WSep 6 · 09:00S. Kolasa1.44121169113M. Domin2.63106111162WSep 6 · 07:45M. Domin2.63710100S. Kolasa1.441112123WSep 6 · 06:55S. Sporek2.7591190S. Kolasa1.401113113LSep 6 · 06:05S. Kolasa1.73101151182M. Nowalinski2.00126118113WSep 6 · 04:30S. Kolasa1.331111113G. Poliniewicz3.255680
P. David10
WSep 7 · 04:55P. David1.081111113G. Poliniewicz7.003690LSep 7 · 03:45P. David1.91117851M. Jadczyk1.8091111113WSep 3 · 13:45P. David1.4413711143D. Michna2.6311113121LSep 3 · 12:30P. David1.571081161A. Wiecek2.2512117113WSep 3 · 11:15P. David1.3011116113K. Kolodziej3.40871151WSep 3 · 10:00A. Dosz2.001110761P. David1.7391211113LSep 3 · 09:20P. David1.367117101S. Dosz3.0011411123LSep 3 · 08:30P. David1.501011861D. Michna2.5012711113WSep 3 · 06:55P. David1.9111812113M. Jadczyk1.808111051LSep 3 · 05:40P. David1.3661080S. Dosz3.001112113
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