TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13087178
Played Sep 7Finished
Petr David
Home
1.08
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113116119––––
Grzegorz Poliniewicz
Away
7.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:49 and never touched — 89.4% is still 89.4%
Graded at full timePetr David to win
89.4%
89.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr David above · Grzegorz Poliniewicz below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 51 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Petr David at 89.4%
51 points played in total.
H2H Petr David 2–0 Grzegorz Poliniewicz Grzegorz Poliniewicz has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:49What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.08 (87%)
David
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
David 1948 vs Poliniewicz 1698
David
Correct
both rated, 250 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
David 60% vs Poliniewicz 40%
David
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
David 40% vs Poliniewicz 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
David -1 · Poliniewicz -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 89% — Strong (leans David)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Poliniewicz form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (14%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDavid 1.08 / Poliniewicz 7.00
Signal prob.89% / 11%
Edge (David)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13087178
David1.08
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 238 of 356
Up 2–0, closes it97% 124 of 128
Up 1–0, closes it82% 181 of 221
Poliniewicz7.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog38% won 142 of 376
Down 0–1, comes back22% 46 of 212
Down 0–2, comes back8% 10 of 129
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeDavid2wins
AwayPoliniewicz0wins
David leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricDavidPoliniewiczD − PBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match35.021.5+13.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDavidPoliniewiczBasisWin rate · lifetime648 / 985 vs 1250 / 210965.8%59.3%648 / 985 vs 1250 / 2109Avg sets wonper match2.42.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.938.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DavidDavid 1.08/Poliniewicz 7.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
89.4%
David · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
David won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJun 30 · 07:20P. David—11114113G. Poliniewicz—651131
WJul 23 · 19:45P. David—1111113G. Poliniewicz—4860
P. David10
LSep 7 · 06:30J. Kosowski1.831212113P. David1.83101090WSep 7 · 05:40S. Kolasa2.00613791P. David1.73111111113LSep 7 · 03:45P. David1.91117851M. Jadczyk1.8091111113WSep 3 · 13:45P. David1.4413711143D. Michna2.6311113121LSep 3 · 12:30P. David1.571081161A. Wiecek2.2512117113WSep 3 · 11:15P. David1.3011116113K. Kolodziej3.40871151WSep 3 · 10:00A. Dosz2.001110761P. David1.7391211113LSep 3 · 09:20P. David1.367117101S. Dosz3.0011411123LSep 3 · 08:30P. David1.501011861D. Michna2.5012711113WSep 3 · 06:55P. David1.9111812113M. Jadczyk1.808111051
G. Poliniewicz10
LSep 7 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.141111510113G. Poliniewicz5.0079111282LSep 7 · 03:25J. Kosowski1.281211133G. Poliniewicz3.50107110LSep 6 · 08:05J. Braun1.36111111113G. Poliniewicz3.00139741WSep 6 · 07:20M. Nowalinski1.508138101G. Poliniewicz2.50111111123WSep 6 · 05:15M. Domin1.5711115192G. Poliniewicz2.25871111113LSep 6 · 04:30S. Kolasa1.331111113G. Poliniewicz3.255680LSep 6 · 03:00S. Sporek1.5711116133G. Poliniewicz2.259611111WSep 4 · 13:50J. Zochniak3.25114481G. Poliniewicz1.2761111113LSep 4 · 13:00A. Daniel1.3511711113G. Poliniewicz2.85611591LSep 4 · 12:10G. Poliniewicz2.357660S. Dosz1.531111113
Upcoming Matches
P. David
G. Poliniewicz1 of 7 neutral
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