TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13087065
Played Sep 7Finished
Jakub Kosowski
Home
1.29
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
12101171311––––
Grzegorz Poliniewicz
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:19 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Kosowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Kosowski above · Grzegorz Poliniewicz below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 64 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Jakub Kosowski at 54.0%
64 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kosowski 0–1 Grzegorz Poliniewicz Jakub Kosowski has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:19What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Kosowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kosowski 1884 vs Poliniewicz 1713
Kosowski
Correct
both rated, 171 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosowski 40% vs Poliniewicz 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosowski 50% vs Poliniewicz 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosowski -2 · Poliniewicz -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Kosowski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Poliniewicz form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosowski 1.28 / Poliniewicz 3.50
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Kosowski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13087065
Kosowski1.28
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 294 of 452
Up 2–0, closes it94% 135 of 143
Up 1–0, closes it85% 229 of 270
Poliniewicz3.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 140 of 371
Down 0–1, comes back22% 45 of 209
Down 0–2, comes back7% 9 of 126
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKosowski0wins
AwayPoliniewicz1wins
Poliniewicz leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKosowskiPoliniewiczK − PBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match34.041.0−7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosowskiPoliniewiczBasisWin rate · lifetime746 / 1263 vs 1250 / 210759.1%59.3%746 / 1263 vs 1250 / 2107Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosowskiKosowski 1.28/Poliniewicz 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.9%
Kosowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kosowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJul 20 · 06:30J. Kosowski—8114111G. Poliniewicz—11611133
J. Kosowski10
WSep 7 · 06:30J. Kosowski1.831212113P. David1.83101090WSep 7 · 04:10S. Kolasa2.386270J. Kosowski1.531111113LSep 1 · 13:45J. Kosowski1.731145111K. Petas2.0071111133LSep 1 · 12:30J. Kosowski1.368680K. Kolodziej3.001111113WSep 1 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.2013714113K. Glazowski4.3311111291LSep 1 · 10:00P. Cyrnek1.8371111113J. Kosowski1.83116571WSep 1 · 09:20J. Kosowski1.3011116113K. Strowski3.40491171WSep 1 · 08:30J. Kosowski1.7311611113K. Petas2.00911881WSep 1 · 06:55J. Kosowski1.6361111113M. Jadczyk2.10117781WSep 1 · 05:40J. Kosowski1.8011711113P. Cyrnek1.91911751
G. Poliniewicz10
LSep 7 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.141111510113G. Poliniewicz5.0079111282LSep 7 · 04:55P. David1.081111113G. Poliniewicz7.003690LSep 6 · 08:05J. Braun1.36111111113G. Poliniewicz3.00139741WSep 6 · 07:20M. Nowalinski1.508138101G. Poliniewicz2.50111111123WSep 6 · 05:15M. Domin1.5711115192G. Poliniewicz2.25871111113LSep 6 · 04:30S. Kolasa1.331111113G. Poliniewicz3.255680LSep 6 · 03:00S. Sporek1.5711116133G. Poliniewicz2.259611111WSep 4 · 13:50J. Zochniak3.25114481G. Poliniewicz1.2761111113LSep 4 · 13:00A. Daniel1.3511711113G. Poliniewicz2.85611591LSep 4 · 12:10G. Poliniewicz2.357660S. Dosz1.531111113
Upcoming Matches
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