TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13072252
Played Sep 4Finished
Artur Daniel
Home
1.35
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116711115119––
Grzegorz Poliniewicz
Away
2.85
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:49 and never touched — 63.9% is still 63.9%
Graded at full timeArtur Daniel to win
63.9%
63.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
116711115119––
H2H Artur Daniel 41–14 Grzegorz Poliniewicz Grzegorz Poliniewicz has won 14 of their 55 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:49What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.35 (68%)
Daniel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
41-14 in 55
Daniel
Correct
gap of 27 in 55, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Daniel 1746 vs Poliniewicz 1719
Daniel
Correct
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Daniel 40% vs Poliniewicz 60%
Poliniewicz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Daniel 50% vs Poliniewicz 70%
Poliniewicz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Daniel +1 · Poliniewicz -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Daniel) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Poliniewicz form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (35%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDaniel 1.35 / Poliniewicz 2.85
Signal prob.70% / 31%
Edge (Daniel)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13072252
Daniel1.35
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 202 of 334
Up 2–0, closes it95% 104 of 110
Up 1–0, closes it77% 156 of 202
Poliniewicz2.85
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 139 of 367
Down 0–1, comes back22% 45 of 206
Down 0–2, comes back7% 9 of 124
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDaniel6wins
AwayPoliniewicz4wins
Daniel leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDaniel100%6 of 6
AwayPoliniewicz100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Daniel6Poliniewicz4n = 10Daniel took 6 of 10
S2Daniel8Poliniewicz2n = 10Daniel took 8 of 10
S3Daniel3Poliniewicz7n = 10Poliniewicz took 7 of 10
S4Daniel4Poliniewicz3n = 7Daniel took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDanielPoliniewiczD − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.334.5+2.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDanielPoliniewiczBasisWin rate · lifetime778 / 1461 vs 1251 / 210653.3%59.4%778 / 1461 vs 1251 / 2106Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DanielDaniel 1.35/Poliniewicz 2.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.5%
Daniel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Daniel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 12:10A. Daniel—791191G. Poliniewicz—11116113
LAug 19 · 13:25A. Daniel—1011741G. Poliniewicz—12411113
LAug 13 · 13:50A. Daniel—8111081G. Poliniewicz—11412113
WAug 12 · 12:35A. Daniel—1111113G. Poliniewicz—8890
WAug 5 · 12:10A. Daniel—1111123G. Poliniewicz—97100
WJul 31 · 10:05A. Daniel—11138123G. Poliniewicz—81111101
WJul 1 · 14:35A. Daniel—111117113G. Poliniewicz—871971
WJun 18 · 10:55A. Daniel—11128113G. Poliniewicz—9101151
LMay 15 · 10:20A. Daniel—91070G. Poliniewicz—1112113
WMay 15 · 05:45A. Daniel—11116113G. Poliniewicz—561171
A. Daniel10
WSep 4 · 21:00A. Daniel2.10581211113K. Kolodziej1.67111110592LSep 4 · 19:40A. Daniel1.3311114992T. Filbrandt3.25651111113LSep 4 · 18:30A. Daniel1.30123561M. Kolek3.40101111113WSep 4 · 17:20P. Jendrzejewski2.0071141182A. Daniel1.73119119113WSep 4 · 16:30A. Daniel1.501271113113M. Rutkowski2.50141141192WSep 4 · 14:35A. Daniel3.0011611113S. Dosz1.33411681WSep 4 · 11:45A. Daniel1.80711911113K. Wloczko1.9011911682LSep 4 · 10:05A. Daniel1.3711911982J. Zochniak2.75611911113LSep 4 · 09:00A. Daniel1.42114711112K. Wisniewski2.60311119133LSep 3 · 19:40J. Braun1.731311113A. Daniel2.0011750
G. Poliniewicz10
LSep 7 · 08:30S. Kolasa1.4011115113G. Poliniewicz2.75381141LSep 7 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.141111510113G. Poliniewicz5.0079111282LSep 7 · 04:55P. David1.081111113G. Poliniewicz7.003690LSep 7 · 03:25J. Kosowski1.281211133G. Poliniewicz3.50107110LSep 6 · 08:05J. Braun1.36111111113G. Poliniewicz3.00139741WSep 6 · 07:20M. Nowalinski1.508138101G. Poliniewicz2.50111111123WSep 6 · 05:15M. Domin1.5711115192G. Poliniewicz2.25871111113LSep 6 · 04:30S. Kolasa1.331111113G. Poliniewicz3.255680LSep 6 · 03:00S. Sporek1.5711116133G. Poliniewicz2.259611111WSep 4 · 13:50J. Zochniak3.25114481G. Poliniewicz1.2761111113
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