TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13070597
Played Sep 3Finished
Josef Braun
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311117115––––
Artur Daniel
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:41 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeJosef Braun to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJosef Braun above · Artur Daniel below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 58 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Josef Braun at 58.5%
58 points played in total.
H2H Josef Braun 15–9 Artur Daniel Artur Daniel has won 9 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:41What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Braun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-9 in 24
Braun
Correct
gap of 6 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Braun 1792 vs Daniel 1774
Braun
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Braun 60% vs Daniel 80%
Daniel
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Braun 70% vs Daniel 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Braun -2 · Daniel +4
Daniel
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Braun) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Daniel form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBraun 1.73 / Daniel 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Braun)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13070597
Braun1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 138 of 237
Up 2–0, closes it89% 74 of 83
Up 1–0, closes it74% 104 of 141
Daniel2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 78 of 228
Down 0–1, comes back20% 26 of 131
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBraun6wins
AwayDaniel4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBraun leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBraun66.7%4 of 6
AwayDaniel50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Braun6Daniel4n = 10Braun took 6 of 10
S2Braun6Daniel4n = 10Braun took 6 of 10
S3Braun4Daniel6n = 10Daniel took 6 of 10
S4Braun4Daniel2n = 6Braun took 4 of 6
S5Braun2Daniel2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBraunDanielB − DBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.434.4+3.0per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBraunDanielBasisWin rate · lifetime499 / 955 vs 782 / 146652.3%53.3%499 / 955 vs 782 / 1466Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BraunBraun 1.73/Daniel 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Braun · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Braun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 16 · 09:00J. Braun—119711113A. Daniel—61111962
WJul 16 · 08:05J. Braun—111111113A. Daniel—138621
LJun 12 · 03:30J. Braun—111197112A. Daniel—991111133
WJun 3 · 11:55J. Braun—11117113A. Daniel—431171
WApr 25 · 14:50J. Braun—711114113A. Daniel—11891192
LApr 25 · 09:35J. Braun—12691122A. Daniel—1011119113
WMar 5 · 10:55J. Braun—1111113A. Daniel—6530
LFeb 20 · 10:30J. Braun—4890A. Daniel—1111113
LFeb 8 · 13:50J. Braun—12540A. Daniel—1411113
WFeb 1 · 15:05J. Braun—1111113A. Daniel—1640
J. Braun10
LSep 6 · 14:35S. Kolasa1.7311811113J. Braun2.00711751LSep 6 · 13:20J. Braun1.404111271M. Domin2.7511514113WSep 6 · 12:05M. Nowalinski2.50115991J. Braun1.5021111113LSep 6 · 10:50S. Sporek2.75811711113J. Braun1.4011911562WSep 6 · 09:20G. Adamiak2.75911961J. Braun1.4011911113WSep 6 · 08:05J. Braun1.36111111113G. Poliniewicz3.00139741LSep 6 · 06:30M. Domin2.75111113113J. Braun1.405131161LSep 6 · 05:40S. Sporek2.751711102113J. Braun1.40157121192WSep 6 · 04:55J. Braun1.5011128113M. Nowalinski2.504101161WSep 6 · 03:45J. Braun2.0014911113S. Kolasa1.731211581
A. Daniel10
WSep 4 · 21:00A. Daniel2.10581211113K. Kolodziej1.67111110592LSep 4 · 19:40A. Daniel1.3311114992T. Filbrandt3.25651111113LSep 4 · 18:30A. Daniel1.30123561M. Kolek3.40101111113WSep 4 · 17:20P. Jendrzejewski2.0071141182A. Daniel1.73119119113WSep 4 · 16:30A. Daniel1.501271113113M. Rutkowski2.50141141192WSep 4 · 14:35A. Daniel3.0011611113S. Dosz1.33411681WSep 4 · 13:00A. Daniel1.3511711113G. Poliniewicz2.85611591WSep 4 · 11:45A. Daniel1.80711911113K. Wloczko1.9011911682LSep 4 · 10:05A. Daniel1.3711911982J. Zochniak2.75611911113LSep 4 · 09:00A. Daniel1.42114711112K. Wisniewski2.60311119133
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