TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13082355
Played Sep 6Finished
Grzegorz Adamiak
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911119911611––
Josef Braun
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:38 and never touched — 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeJosef Braun to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingGrzegorz Adamiak above · Josef Braun below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 77 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Josef Braun at 67.9%
77 points played in total.
H2H Grzegorz Adamiak 7–20 Josef Braun Grzegorz Adamiak has won 7 of their 27 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:38What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Braun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-20 in 27
Braun
Correct
gap of 13 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamiak 1794 vs Braun 1847
Braun
Correct
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamiak 100% vs Braun 60%
Adamiak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamiak 90% vs Braun 60%
Adamiak
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamiak +5 · Braun +1
Adamiak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Braun)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Braun form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamiak 2.75 / Braun 1.40
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Braun)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13082355
Adamiak2.75
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest100%takes the first set · 10 of 10
As underdog29% won 65 of 225
Down 0–1, comes back14% 20 of 144
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 93
Braun1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 143 of 244
Up 2–0, closes it90% 78 of 87
Up 1–0, closes it75% 109 of 146
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamiak5wins
AwayBraun5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamiak80%4 of 5
AwayBraun80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamiak5Braun5n = 10split evenly
S2Adamiak6Braun4n = 10Adamiak took 6 of 10
S3Adamiak5Braun5n = 10split evenly
S4Adamiak4Braun4n = 8split evenly
S5Adamiak2Braun3n = 5Braun took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamiakBraunA − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.939.3+0.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamiakBraunBasisWin rate · lifetime339 / 772 vs 503 / 96143.9%52.3%339 / 772 vs 503 / 961Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BraunAdamiak 2.75/Braun 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.9%
Braun · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Braun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 27 · 09:20G. Adamiak—1111113J. Braun—7370
WJul 27 · 04:55G. Adamiak—11911123J. Braun—8118101
LJul 16 · 14:35G. Adamiak—12211732J. Braun—1011911113
LJul 16 · 06:30G. Adamiak—61191192J. Braun—114115113
LJul 3 · 10:55G. Adamiak—911117122J. Braun—119111143
LJul 3 · 04:30G. Adamiak—6570J. Braun—1111113
WJun 6 · 14:50G. Adamiak—147911113J. Braun—121111272
LJun 6 · 09:35G. Adamiak—1111491J. Braun—13911113
WMay 17 · 15:10G. Adamiak—1111141113J. Braun—29161162
WMay 17 · 08:25G. Adamiak—31411113J. Braun—1112571
G. Adamiak10
WSep 6 · 13:45G. Adamiak1.83113611113M. Nowalinski1.8361111662WSep 6 · 12:30G. Adamiak1.831111715113S. Sporek1.8387111752LSep 6 · 11:15G. Adamiak1.80971191M. Domin1.9111113113LSep 6 · 10:00S. Kolasa1.4461111113G. Adamiak2.63117621WSep 6 · 08:05D. Wasilewski4.25117110G. Adamiak1.181311133WSep 6 · 07:15M. Zagajewski5.80691131G. Adamiak1.0911115113WSep 6 · 05:15P. Staniszewski5.405970G. Adamiak1.111111113WSep 6 · 04:25T. Pisarczyk6.906450G. Adamiak1.061111113WSep 6 · 03:00I. Dabrowski—8111451G. Adamiak—11616113WSep 5 · 14:10M. Nowalinski2.0041111992G. Adamiak1.73118611113
J. Braun10
LSep 6 · 14:35S. Kolasa1.7311811113J. Braun2.00711751LSep 6 · 13:20J. Braun1.404111271M. Domin2.7511514113WSep 6 · 12:05M. Nowalinski2.50115991J. Braun1.5021111113LSep 6 · 10:50S. Sporek2.75811711113J. Braun1.4011911562WSep 6 · 08:05J. Braun1.36111111113G. Poliniewicz3.00139741LSep 6 · 06:30M. Domin2.75111113113J. Braun1.405131161LSep 6 · 05:40S. Sporek2.751711102113J. Braun1.40157121192WSep 6 · 04:55J. Braun1.5011128113M. Nowalinski2.504101161WSep 6 · 03:45J. Braun2.0014911113S. Kolasa1.731211581WSep 3 · 19:40J. Braun1.731311113A. Daniel2.0011750
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