TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13082447
Played Sep 6Finished
Szymon Kolasa
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
611117116112––
Grzegorz Adamiak
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:10 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeSzymon Kolasa to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSzymon Kolasa above · Grzegorz Adamiak below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 65 set 4, 11-2 — our read held Szymon Kolasa at 65.7%
65 points played in total.
H2H Szymon Kolasa 16–7 Grzegorz Adamiak Grzegorz Adamiak has won 7 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:10What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kolasa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-7 in 23
Kolasa
Correct
gap of 9 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolasa 1905 vs Adamiak 1783
Kolasa
Correct
both rated, 122 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolasa 80% vs Adamiak 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolasa 60% vs Adamiak 80%
Adamiak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolasa +3 · Adamiak -1
Kolasa
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Kolasa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamiak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolasa 1.44 / Adamiak 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Kolasa)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13082447
Kolasa1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite74% won 62 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it92% 47 of 51
Adamiak2.63
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog29% won 65 of 225
Down 0–1, comes back14% 20 of 144
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 93
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolasa7wins
AwayAdamiak3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKolasa leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolasa100%3 of 3
AwayAdamiak42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolasa3Adamiak7n = 10Adamiak took 7 of 10
S2Kolasa5Adamiak5n = 10split evenly
S3Kolasa7Adamiak3n = 10Kolasa took 7 of 10
S4Kolasa6Adamiak1n = 7Kolasa took 6 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolasaAdamiakK − ABasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.433.4+4.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolasaAdamiakBasisWin rate · lifetime286 / 521 vs 339 / 77254.9%43.9%286 / 521 vs 339 / 772Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.235.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolasaKolasa 1.44/Adamiak 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Kolasa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kolasa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 10:25S. Kolasa—12690G. Adamiak—1411113
LSep 5 · 03:25S. Kolasa—881191G. Adamiak—11114113
LJul 3 · 09:45S. Kolasa—11040G. Adamiak—1112113
WJul 3 · 03:00S. Kolasa—71111113G. Adamiak—113971
WMar 29 · 06:15S. Kolasa—91111113G. Adamiak—117761
WJan 25 · 15:50S. Kolasa—5101111113G. Adamiak—11126962
WJan 25 · 10:35S. Kolasa—111011113G. Adamiak—812751
WJan 24 · 11:00S. Kolasa—1111113G. Adamiak—9870
WJan 24 · 10:10S. Kolasa—111111113G. Adamiak—134841
WJan 18 · 13:25S. Kolasa—111113113G. Adamiak—991541
S. Kolasa10
WSep 7 · 06:55S. Kolasa2.00131111113M. Jadczyk1.73156591LSep 7 · 05:40S. Kolasa2.00613791P. David1.73111111113LSep 7 · 04:10S. Kolasa2.386270J. Kosowski1.531111113WSep 6 · 14:35S. Kolasa1.7311811113J. Braun2.00711751WSep 6 · 12:55S. Kolasa1.6111811113M. Nowalinski2.20811761LSep 6 · 11:40S. Kolasa1.40121211592S. Sporek2.751014611113WSep 6 · 09:00S. Kolasa1.44121169113M. Domin2.63106111162WSep 6 · 07:45M. Domin2.63710100S. Kolasa1.441112123WSep 6 · 06:55S. Sporek2.7591190S. Kolasa1.401113113LSep 6 · 06:05S. Kolasa1.73101151182M. Nowalinski2.00126118113
G. Adamiak10
WSep 6 · 13:45G. Adamiak1.83113611113M. Nowalinski1.8361111662WSep 6 · 12:30G. Adamiak1.831111715113S. Sporek1.8387111752LSep 6 · 11:15G. Adamiak1.80971191M. Domin1.9111113113LSep 6 · 09:20G. Adamiak2.75911961J. Braun1.4011911113WSep 6 · 08:05D. Wasilewski4.25117110G. Adamiak1.181311133WSep 6 · 07:15M. Zagajewski5.80691131G. Adamiak1.0911115113WSep 6 · 05:15P. Staniszewski5.405970G. Adamiak1.111111113WSep 6 · 04:25T. Pisarczyk6.906450G. Adamiak1.061111113WSep 6 · 03:00I. Dabrowski—8111451G. Adamiak—11616113WSep 5 · 14:10M. Nowalinski2.0041111992G. Adamiak1.73118611113
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