TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13082822
Played Sep 6Finished
Maciej Domin
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
71110121012––––
Szymon Kolasa
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:41 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeSzymon Kolasa to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaciej Domin above · Szymon Kolasa below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 62 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Szymon Kolasa at 66.5%
62 points played in total.
H2H Maciej Domin 5–12 Szymon Kolasa Maciej Domin has won 5 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:41What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kolasa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-12 in 17
Kolasa
Correct
gap of 7 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Domin 1772 vs Kolasa 1891
Kolasa
Correct
both rated, 119 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Domin 60% vs Kolasa 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Domin 50% vs Kolasa 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Domin +1 · Kolasa +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Kolasa) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Domin form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDomin 2.63 / Kolasa 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Kolasa)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13082822
Domin2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 80 of 182
Down 0–1, comes back30% 33 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back11% 6 of 55
Kolasa1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite74% won 62 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it92% 47 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDomin2wins
AwayKolasa8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKolasa leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDominn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKolasa87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Domin2Kolasa8n = 10Kolasa took 8 of 10
S2Domin4Kolasa6n = 10Kolasa took 6 of 10
S3Domin2Kolasa8n = 10Kolasa took 8 of 10
S4Domin1Kolasa6n = 7Kolasa took 6 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricDominKolasaD − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match36.543.5−7.0per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDominKolasaBasisWin rate · lifetime490 / 939 vs 285 / 52052.2%54.8%490 / 939 vs 285 / 520Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolasaDomin 2.63/Kolasa 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Kolasa · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kolasa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 07:45M. Domin—710100S. Kolasa—1112123
WSep 5 · 12:55M. Domin—1181111113S. Kolasa—91113892
LSep 5 · 06:05M. Domin—216891S. Kolasa—111411113
LAug 27 · 07:20M. Domin—741171S. Kolasa—11115113
LAug 12 · 05:15M. Domin—8131171S. Kolasa—111113113
LJan 17 · 12:10M. Domin—1288141S. Kolasa—101111163
LOct 10 · 15:30M. Domin—8980S. Kolasa—1111113
LAug 18 · 24:45M. Domin—412581S. Kolasa—111011113
WAug 17 · 22:20M. Domin—9121112143S. Kolasa—1110914122
LAug 17 · 21:35M. Domin—141050S. Kolasa—1612113
M. Domin10
WSep 6 · 14:10S. Sporek1.8011911181M. Domin1.9171113203WSep 6 · 13:20J. Braun1.404111271M. Domin2.7511514113WSep 6 · 11:15G. Adamiak1.80971191M. Domin1.9111113113LSep 6 · 10:25M. Nowalinski1.5711511113M. Domin2.25911791LSep 6 · 09:00S. Kolasa1.44121169113M. Domin2.63106111162WSep 6 · 06:30M. Domin2.75111113113J. Braun1.405131161LSep 6 · 05:15M. Domin1.5711115192G. Poliniewicz2.25871111113WSep 6 · 04:10S. Sporek2.101178101M. Domin1.6781111123WSep 6 · 03:25M. Domin2.2512511113M. Nowalinski1.571011841LSep 5 · 14:35M. Domin1.73125581S. Sporek2.00101111113
S. Kolasa10
LSep 7 · 05:40S. Kolasa2.00613791P. David1.73111111113LSep 7 · 04:10S. Kolasa2.386270J. Kosowski1.531111113WSep 6 · 14:35S. Kolasa1.7311811113J. Braun2.00711751WSep 6 · 12:55S. Kolasa1.6111811113M. Nowalinski2.20811761LSep 6 · 11:40S. Kolasa1.40121211592S. Sporek2.751014611113WSep 6 · 10:00S. Kolasa1.4461111113G. Adamiak2.63117621WSep 6 · 09:00S. Kolasa1.44121169113M. Domin2.63106111162WSep 6 · 06:55S. Sporek2.7591190S. Kolasa1.401113113LSep 6 · 06:05S. Kolasa1.73101151182M. Nowalinski2.00126118113WSep 6 · 04:30S. Kolasa1.331111113G. Poliniewicz3.255680
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