TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13082221
Played Sep 6Finished
Josef Braun
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
4111151214711––
Maciej Domin
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:08 and never touched — 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeJosef Braun to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJosef Braun above · Maciej Domin below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 75 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Josef Braun at 67.9%
75 points played in total.
H2H Josef Braun 6–3 Maciej Domin Maciej Domin has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:08What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Braun
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Braun
Wrong
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Braun 1814 vs Domin 1745
Braun
Wrong
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Braun 60% vs Domin 40%
Braun
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Braun 60% vs Domin 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Braun +1 · Domin +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Braun)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Braun form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBraun 1.40 / Domin 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 33%
Edge (Braun)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13082221
Braun1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 143 of 244
Up 2–0, closes it90% 78 of 87
Up 1–0, closes it75% 109 of 146
Domin2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 80 of 182
Down 0–1, comes back30% 33 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back11% 6 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeBraun6wins
AwayDomin3wins
1 of 9 to a deciderBraun leads 6–3, and 1 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBraun80%4 of 5
AwayDomin50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Braun5Domin4n = 9Braun took 5 of 9
S2Braun6Domin3n = 9Braun took 6 of 9
S3Braun5Domin4n = 9Braun took 5 of 9
S4Braun4Domin4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home444%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricBraunDominB − DBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match38.834.2+4.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBraunDominBasisWin rate · lifetime504 / 963 vs 491 / 94252.3%52.1%504 / 963 vs 491 / 942Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BraunBraun 1.40/Domin 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.5%
Braun · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Domin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 6 · 06:30J. Braun—5131161M. Domin—111113113
LAug 27 · 12:10J. Braun—311981M. Domin—11511113
WJul 27 · 10:50J. Braun—713113123M. Domin—1111411102
LJul 25 · 09:00J. Braun—119991M. Domin—91111113
WJul 25 · 06:30J. Braun—11711113M. Domin—511671
WApr 18 · 10:25J. Braun—11119113M. Domin—441181
WDec 23 · 15:00J. Braun—11811113M. Domin—211691
WDec 23 · 06:00J. Braun—1211113M. Domin—10570
WSep 1 · 16:40J. Braun—91111113M. Domin—119541
J. Braun10
LSep 6 · 14:35S. Kolasa1.7311811113J. Braun2.00711751WSep 6 · 12:05M. Nowalinski2.50115991J. Braun1.5021111113LSep 6 · 10:50S. Sporek2.75811711113J. Braun1.4011911562WSep 6 · 09:20G. Adamiak2.75911961J. Braun1.4011911113WSep 6 · 08:05J. Braun1.36111111113G. Poliniewicz3.00139741LSep 6 · 06:30M. Domin2.75111113113J. Braun1.405131161LSep 6 · 05:40S. Sporek2.751711102113J. Braun1.40157121192WSep 6 · 04:55J. Braun1.5011128113M. Nowalinski2.504101161WSep 6 · 03:45J. Braun2.0014911113S. Kolasa1.731211581WSep 3 · 19:40J. Braun1.731311113A. Daniel2.0011750
M. Domin10
WSep 6 · 14:10S. Sporek1.8011911181M. Domin1.9171113203WSep 6 · 11:15G. Adamiak1.80971191M. Domin1.9111113113LSep 6 · 10:25M. Nowalinski1.5711511113M. Domin2.25911791LSep 6 · 09:00S. Kolasa1.44121169113M. Domin2.63106111162LSep 6 · 07:45M. Domin2.63710100S. Kolasa1.441112123WSep 6 · 06:30M. Domin2.75111113113J. Braun1.405131161LSep 6 · 05:15M. Domin1.5711115192G. Poliniewicz2.25871111113WSep 6 · 04:10S. Sporek2.101178101M. Domin1.6781111123WSep 6 · 03:25M. Domin2.2512511113M. Nowalinski1.571011841LSep 5 · 14:35M. Domin1.73125581S. Sporek2.00101111113
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