TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13082357
Played Sep 6Finished
Josef Braun
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1412911115118––
Szymon Kolasa
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:38 and never touched — 61.3% is still 61.3%
Graded at full timeSzymon Kolasa to win
61.3%
61.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJosef Braun above · Szymon Kolasa below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 81 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Szymon Kolasa at 61.3%
81 points played in total.
H2H Josef Braun 5–17 Szymon Kolasa Josef Braun has won 5 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:38What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kolasa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-17 in 22
Kolasa
Wrong
gap of 12 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Braun 1821 vs Kolasa 1888
Kolasa
Wrong
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Braun 60% vs Kolasa 40%
Braun
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Braun 70% vs Kolasa 50%
Braun
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Braun +1 · Kolasa +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Kolasa) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolasa form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBraun 2.00 / Kolasa 1.73
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Kolasa)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13082357
Braun2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 84 of 206
Down 0–1, comes back23% 25 of 109
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 61
Kolasa1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite78% won 59 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it94% 44 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBraun3wins
AwayKolasa7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKolasa leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBraun33.3%2 of 6
AwayKolasa75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Braun6Kolasa4n = 10Braun took 6 of 10
S2Braun7Kolasa3n = 10Braun took 7 of 10
S3Braun4Kolasa6n = 10Kolasa took 6 of 10
S4Braun3Kolasa6n = 9Kolasa took 6 of 9
S5Braun1Kolasa5n = 6Kolasa took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBraunKolasaB − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.640.5+1.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBraunKolasaBasisWin rate · lifetime500 / 956 vs 282 / 51652.3%54.7%500 / 956 vs 282 / 516Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolasaBraun 2.00/Kolasa 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.1%
Kolasa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Braun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 03:45J. Braun—14911113S. Kolasa—1211581
LAug 3 · 09:20J. Braun—1071111102S. Kolasa—121189123
LAug 3 · 05:40J. Braun—811251S. Kolasa—11311113
LJul 30 · 03:45J. Braun—11118822S. Kolasa—461111113
WJul 7 · 04:55J. Braun—711119113S. Kolasa—11361152
LJul 3 · 12:10J. Braun—111110972S. Kolasa—991211113
LJul 3 · 06:55J. Braun—1211951S. Kolasa—14611113
LJan 25 · 14:15J. Braun—111091152S. Kolasa—912114113
LJan 18 · 14:40J. Braun—11119662S. Kolasa—391111113
WOct 24 · 11:35J. Braun—1111113S. Kolasa—4660
J. Braun10
LSep 6 · 14:35S. Kolasa1.7311811113J. Braun2.00711751LSep 6 · 13:20J. Braun1.404111271M. Domin2.7511514113WSep 6 · 12:05M. Nowalinski2.50115991J. Braun1.5021111113LSep 6 · 10:50S. Sporek2.75811711113J. Braun1.4011911562WSep 6 · 09:20G. Adamiak2.75911961J. Braun1.4011911113WSep 6 · 08:05J. Braun1.36111111113G. Poliniewicz3.00139741LSep 6 · 06:30M. Domin2.75111113113J. Braun1.405131161LSep 6 · 05:40S. Sporek2.751711102113J. Braun1.40157121192WSep 6 · 04:55J. Braun1.5011128113M. Nowalinski2.504101161WSep 3 · 19:40J. Braun1.731311113A. Daniel2.0011750
S. Kolasa10
LSep 7 · 05:40S. Kolasa2.00613791P. David1.73111111113LSep 7 · 04:10S. Kolasa2.386270J. Kosowski1.531111113WSep 6 · 14:35S. Kolasa1.7311811113J. Braun2.00711751WSep 6 · 12:55S. Kolasa1.6111811113M. Nowalinski2.20811761LSep 6 · 11:40S. Kolasa1.40121211592S. Sporek2.751014611113WSep 6 · 10:00S. Kolasa1.4461111113G. Adamiak2.63117621WSep 6 · 09:00S. Kolasa1.44121169113M. Domin2.63106111162WSep 6 · 07:45M. Domin2.63710100S. Kolasa1.441112123WSep 6 · 06:55S. Sporek2.7591190S. Kolasa1.401113113LSep 6 · 06:05S. Kolasa1.73101151182M. Nowalinski2.00126118113
Upcoming Matches
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S. Kolasa
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