TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13082495
Played Sep 6Finished
Szymon Kolasa
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117811117115––
Josef Braun
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:18 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSzymon Kolasa to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSzymon Kolasa above · Josef Braun below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 71 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Szymon Kolasa at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Szymon Kolasa 18–5 Josef Braun Josef Braun has won 5 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:18What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kolasa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-5 in 23
Kolasa
Correct
gap of 13 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolasa 1914 vs Braun 1782
Kolasa
Correct
both rated, 132 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolasa 80% vs Braun 60%
Kolasa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolasa 70% vs Braun 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolasa +1 · Braun -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Kolasa) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolasa form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolasa 1.73 / Braun 2.00
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Kolasa)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13082495
Kolasa1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite74% won 62 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it92% 47 of 51
Braun2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 85 of 207
Down 0–1, comes back23% 25 of 109
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolasa8wins
AwayBraun2wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKolasa leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolasa80%4 of 5
AwayBraun20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolasa5Braun5n = 10split evenly
S2Kolasa3Braun7n = 10Braun took 7 of 10
S3Kolasa7Braun3n = 10Kolasa took 7 of 10
S4Kolasa7Braun3n = 10Kolasa took 7 of 10
S5Kolasa5Braun1n = 6Kolasa took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolasaBraunK − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.041.3+1.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolasaBraunBasisWin rate · lifetime289 / 525 vs 504 / 96555.1%52.2%289 / 525 vs 504 / 965Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolasaKolasa 1.73/Braun 2.00
Hit
What we said
56.1%
Kolasa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kolasa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 14:35S. Kolasa—11811113J. Braun—711751
LSep 6 · 03:45S. Kolasa—1211581J. Braun—14911113
WAug 3 · 09:20S. Kolasa—121189123J. Braun—1071111102
WAug 3 · 05:40S. Kolasa—11311113J. Braun—811251
WJul 30 · 03:45S. Kolasa—461111113J. Braun—11118822
LJul 7 · 04:55S. Kolasa—11361152J. Braun—711119113
WJul 3 · 12:10S. Kolasa—991211113J. Braun—111110972
WJul 3 · 06:55S. Kolasa—14611113J. Braun—1211951
WJan 25 · 14:15S. Kolasa—912114113J. Braun—111091152
WJan 18 · 14:40S. Kolasa—391111113J. Braun—11119662
S. Kolasa10
WSep 7 · 06:55S. Kolasa2.00131111113M. Jadczyk1.73156591LSep 7 · 05:40S. Kolasa2.00613791P. David1.73111111113LSep 7 · 04:10S. Kolasa2.386270J. Kosowski1.531111113WSep 6 · 12:55S. Kolasa1.6111811113M. Nowalinski2.20811761LSep 6 · 11:40S. Kolasa1.40121211592S. Sporek2.751014611113WSep 6 · 10:00S. Kolasa1.4461111113G. Adamiak2.63117621WSep 6 · 09:00S. Kolasa1.44121169113M. Domin2.63106111162WSep 6 · 07:45M. Domin2.63710100S. Kolasa1.441112123WSep 6 · 06:55S. Sporek2.7591190S. Kolasa1.401113113LSep 6 · 06:05S. Kolasa1.73101151182M. Nowalinski2.00126118113
J. Braun10
LSep 6 · 13:20J. Braun1.404111271M. Domin2.7511514113WSep 6 · 12:05M. Nowalinski2.50115991J. Braun1.5021111113LSep 6 · 10:50S. Sporek2.75811711113J. Braun1.4011911562WSep 6 · 09:20G. Adamiak2.75911961J. Braun1.4011911113WSep 6 · 08:05J. Braun1.36111111113G. Poliniewicz3.00139741LSep 6 · 06:30M. Domin2.75111113113J. Braun1.405131161LSep 6 · 05:40S. Sporek2.751711102113J. Braun1.40157121192WSep 6 · 04:55J. Braun1.5011128113M. Nowalinski2.504101161WSep 6 · 03:45J. Braun2.0014911113S. Kolasa1.731211581WSep 3 · 19:40J. Braun1.731311113A. Daniel2.0011750
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